Copper prices experienced significant fluctuations, and market sentiment remained conservative. The premium in the morning market was under pressure and declined. [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Published: Mar 26, 2025 13:34
【SMM Spot Copper】During the day, mainstream standard-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 40-20 yuan/mt against the front-month contract, while high-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to parity. Copper prices fluctuated significantly during the day, and the trading volume was noticeably affected. Suppliers showed low sentiment for short-term inventory building, and the destocking momentum was also weak. The premiums are expected to continue to decline tomorrow.
SMM March 26 News: Today, spot prices of #1 copper cathode against the SHFE copper 2504 contract were quoted at a discount of 40 yuan/mt to parity, with an average discount of 20 yuan/mt, down by 5 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The trading price of standard-quality copper ranged from 82,360 to 82,930 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper traded between 82,390 and 82,950 yuan/mt. The SHFE copper 2504 contract broke through 83,000 yuan/mt in the morning session, tested 83,270 yuan/mt, and then sharply reversed, retreating to 81,860 yuan/mt by the end of the session. The price spread between the SHFE copper 2504 and 2505 contracts fluctuated between a discount of 40 and 80 yuan/mt. In the morning session, copper prices surged significantly, causing large fluctuations in suppliers' hedging positions and putting pressure on their willingness to sell, resulting in a generally subdued trading atmosphere. At the beginning of the session, suppliers quoted standard-quality copper at a discount of 30 to 20 yuan/mt, while high-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 10 to a premium of 10 yuan/mt. Only a few traders sold to cash out, and downstream buyers showed weak pricing intentions, with only a small amount of just-in-time procurement. During the main trading period, standard-quality copper traded at a discount of 40 to 20 yuan/mt, and high-quality copper traded at a discount of 10 to a premium of 10 yuan/mt. SX-EW copper traded at a discount of 80 yuan/mt. Before 11:00 AM, some downstream buyers countered with offers around a discount of 50 yuan/mt, resulting in a small amount of transactions. Throughout the day, copper prices experienced significant fluctuations, leading to a noticeable weakening in market trading volume. Suppliers showed low sentiment for short-term positioning, and destocking momentum was also insufficient. The premium is expected to continue to decline tomorrow.

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[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to next week, intraday purchasing sentiment in the Shanghai market rebounded notably. Before the weekend, some downstream buyers and traders showed stockpiling demand, driving an improvement in market transactions compared with the previous period. Meanwhile, the backwardation structure in the price spread between futures contracts narrowed from earlier levels, easing the marginal pressure on suppliers to roll positions and reducing their willingness to sell at low prices. After some cargoes at premiums around 200 yuan/mt were traded in early trading, available supply in the Shanghai market tightened further, prompting suppliers to raise quotes and lending support to spot premiums. That said, absolute SHFE copper prices remain elevated, and downstream purchases are still driven mainly by rigid demand and restocking at lower prices, with limited willingness to chase cargoes at high premiums. Overall, with the release of pre-weekend stockpiling demand, the narrowing backwardation structure, and tight availability of spot cargoes, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2609 contract are expected to remain at a premium next week, with the overall center likely to edge up further, though upside room will remain constrained by high copper prices and downstream acceptance.
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Copper prices experienced significant fluctuations, and market sentiment remained conservative. The premium in the morning market was under pressure and declined. [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)