Demand Headwinds Intensify! Another Major Bank Cuts Tesla Target Price Following JPMorgan and Wells Fargo

Published: Mar 21, 2025 09:27
Recently, Tesla has been facing multiple challenges, not only experiencing a significant drop in sales in several key markets but also encountering strong resistance in the US...

Recently, Tesla has been facing multiple challenges, not only experiencing a significant drop in sales in several key markets but also encountering strong resistance in the US... Various major investment banks on Wall Street have been lowering their target prices for Tesla, with Mizuho being the latest to do so.

On Monday, Mizuho analysts cut Tesla's target price from $515 to $430 in a report, citing weak demand for the automaker amid tariff uncertainties.

During Monday's trading session, Tesla's stock price fell by more than 5% to $237.44, nearly halving from its closing high of $479.86 on December 17 last year. By the close, Tesla's stock was down 4.79%, at $238.01. Since the beginning of the year, Tesla's stock has fallen by nearly 40%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 index.

Mizuho now expects Tesla to deliver 1.8 million units this year and 2.3 million in 2026, lower than the previous estimates of 2.3 million and 2.9 million, respectively.

The bank noted that Tesla's February sales may have underperformed the overall auto market, especially in the US, Europe, and China.

Mizuho analysts stated that Tesla's sales difficulties can partly be attributed to "deteriorating geopolitics" and a decline in brand recognition. Elon Musk, Tesla's CEO, is deeply involved in US politics, having led the Department of Government Efficiency during the Trump administration. Recent protests and reports of vandalism against Tesla have raised concerns that Musk's political activities could harm the company's sales.

Analysts also pointed out that Tesla faces increasing competition in China, and the demand for the updated Model Y is below expectations.

Mizuho's target price is significantly higher than the consensus target price of around $367 tracked by financial technology provider Visible Alpha.

Last week, analysts from Wells Fargo and JPMorgan lowered their target prices for Tesla to $130 and $120, respectively, indicating there is still considerable downside room for the stock.

In a letter to the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) last week, Tesla warned that President Trump's trade war could make it a target for retaliatory tariffs, increasing the cost of manufacturing cars in the US.

Note: This news is sourced from cls and translated by SMM

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Flash] Kazakhstan Follows Russia in Full Suspension of Sulfur Exports
41 mins ago
[SMM Flash] Kazakhstan Follows Russia in Full Suspension of Sulfur Exports
Read More
[SMM Flash] Kazakhstan Follows Russia in Full Suspension of Sulfur Exports
[SMM Flash] Kazakhstan Follows Russia in Full Suspension of Sulfur Exports
The ban took effect on June 27, with an exception for exports to Russia, dealing another heavy blow to global sulfur supply: According to Order No. 1363 signed by Kazakhstan's Ministry of Energy on June 26, Kazakhstan fully suspended sulfur exports starting June 27, 2026, and the ban will remain in effect "until further notice." Notably, sulfur shipments destined for railway stations within the Russian Federation are exempted. The ban covers all categories, with logistics operators responsible for enforcement: This ban includes all mainstream industrial sulfur categories such as liquid sulfur, granular sulfur, and lump sulfur. The responsibility for supervision and enforcement has been explicitly assigned to relevant railway structures and logistics operators, including Dar Rail LLC and TTT Service LLC. Russia and Kazakhstan Take Successive Actions, Global Supply Sees Precipitous Contraction: Just one day before Kazakhstan's ban—on June 25, the Russian government signed Decree No. 785, extending the ban on industrial sulfur exports, originally set to expire on June 30, to December 31, 2026. The Russian ban also covers liquid, granular, and lump sulfur, with officials stating the move aims to prioritize domestic fertilizer production and strengthen national food security.
41 mins ago
Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. Makes a Brilliant Appearance at SME 2026 Shanghai Metal Week
1 hour ago
Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. Makes a Brilliant Appearance at SME 2026 Shanghai Metal Week
Read More
Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. Makes a Brilliant Appearance at SME 2026 Shanghai Metal Week
Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. Makes a Brilliant Appearance at SME 2026 Shanghai Metal Week
1 hour ago
[SMM Conference] ICM 2026: Gathering Global Metal Industry Elites & Navigating Energy Transition
Jun 23, 2026 11:14
[SMM Conference] ICM 2026: Gathering Global Metal Industry Elites & Navigating Energy Transition
Read More
[SMM Conference] ICM 2026: Gathering Global Metal Industry Elites & Navigating Energy Transition
[SMM Conference] ICM 2026: Gathering Global Metal Industry Elites & Navigating Energy Transition
Jun 23, 2026 11:14
Demand Headwinds Intensify! Another Major Bank Cuts Tesla Target Price Following JPMorgan and Wells Fargo - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)