NewsFlash / Copper / JP Morgan Forecasts Global Copper Cathode Deficit, Tariff Concerns Push Price Outlook
JP Morgan Forecasts Global Copper Cathode Deficit, Tariff Concerns Push Price Outlook
iconMar 4, 2025 17:32
Source:SMM
According to SMM, JP Morgan stated in a report that the global copper cathode deficit is expected to grow to 160,000 mt by 2026, and the bank continues to forecast an average copper price of approximately $11,000/mt next year. Following the US decision to investigate potential new tariffs on imported copper, the bank noted that the decision to impose import tariffs on copper cathode and copper products is expected to be implemented by the end of Q3, with a minimum rate of 10% and a significant risk of a higher rate—25%. JP Morgan pointed out, "Before tariffs on copper are imposed, the US may experience excessive inventory buildup in the coming months, which could lead to copper shortages in other parts of the world... laying the foundation for our forecast of a bullish price increase to $10,400/mt.

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