NewsFlash / Copper / Deteriorating Import Window for Copper Cathode Sparks Concerns Over Potential Export Surge and Smelter Opportunities
Deteriorating Import Window for Copper Cathode Sparks Concerns Over Potential Export Surge and Smelter Opportunities
iconFeb 21, 2025 18:10
Source:SMM
[SMM Analysis] The import window for copper cathode has rapidly deteriorated. As of February 21, the import loss for the SHFE copper 2503 contract has exceeded 1,300 yuan/mt, which also indicates that the export window for copper cathode has reopened significantly since May 2024. Looking back, when the export window opened in May 2024, the import loss reached a peak of 2,000 yuan/mt, with cumulative exports from May to June totaling 230,000 mt, and a record-high monthly export of 150,000 mt in June. Will this collapse in the SHFE/LME price ratio trigger another wave of massive exports? What opportunities does this present for domestic smelters?

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