NewsFlash / Steel / Spot HRC Prices Decline, But Downside Limited by Macro Expectations and Cost Support
Spot HRC Prices Decline, But Downside Limited by Macro Expectations and Cost Support
iconFeb 8, 2025 17:14
Source:SMM
Without guidance from the futures market today, spot prices mainly dropped by 10 yuan/mt. Supply side, steel mills' HRC profits remained moderate, maintaining strong production enthusiasm. According to the SMM survey, this month's daily average production is expected to increase MoM, keeping supply pressure high. Demand side, mainstream market participants gradually resumed work this week, but post-holiday downstream sentiment remained cautious, and demand recovery will take time. Looking ahead, raw material side, although coke prices are still expected to decline, iron ore prices are expected to strengthen due to disruptions from overseas shipment news, providing short-term cost support. Demand side, end-use demand has entered a verification phase, and before being disproven, its impact on prices remains neutral. Overall, with positive macro expectations from the Two Sessions and cost support still in place, the downside space for HRC prices is limited. Next week, the most-traded HRC contract may fluctuate rangebound within 3,380-3,530.

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