Smelters Continuously Join the "War": What Is the Future for Traditional Die-Casting Zinc Alloy Enterprises? [SMM Analysis]

Published: Feb 8, 2025 15:32
【Smelters Continue to Join the "Battle": What Lies Ahead for Traditional Die-Casting Zinc Alloy Enterprises?】According to SMM data, the die-casting zinc alloy production of smelters reached 181,000 mt in 2024, an increase of 55,300 mt (45.51%) compared to 125,700 mt in 2022. However, it slightly decreased by 1,900 mt (1.04%) in 2024 compared to 182,900 mt in 2023......
According to SMM data, the die-casting zinc alloy production of smelters in 2024 reached 181,000 mt, an increase of 55,300 mt (45.51%) compared to 125,700 mt in 2022. However, compared to 182,900 mt in 2023, it slightly decreased by 1,900 mt, a decline of 1.04%. Although the production in 2024 was slightly lower than in 2023, it remained at a relatively high level overall. The slight decrease in production was mainly attributed to lower-than-expected supply-side production in H2 2024, leading to insufficient raw material supply for smelters.

From the current overall development trend, more and more smelters are entering the zinc alloy market. In this context, how will traditional zinc alloy enterprises position themselves?

Traditional die-casting zinc alloy enterprises possess some unique advantages. For instance, they have won the favor of many end-use customers by offering customized products. Unlike large-scale production by smelters, these enterprises can adjust metal ratios according to specific customer requirements, producing alloy products distinct from the mainstream 3# and 5# alloys in the market. Currently, there is indeed a segment of customers in the market with demand for such customized zinc alloys.

In such a fiercely competitive market, how should traditional alloy enterprises respond? The following discussion will focus on three main aspects.

1. Transition From "Production" to "Trade"
According to market information, many alloy producers struggling in intense competition are gradually transforming into trading enterprises. These companies procure alloys directly from alloy plants to reduce operating costs and increase profits. It is reported that the processing fee for die-casting zinc alloy provided by smelters in the market generally ranges from 200 yuan to 500 yuan per mt. Although a few smelters set higher prices, they are still relatively lower compared to the pricing of traditional die-casting zinc alloy enterprises. As a result, many die-casting zinc alloy enterprises are choosing to reduce or cease production and instead purchase zinc alloys from smelters for resale. Additionally, some enterprises are not limited to alloy trading but also engage in the trade of various bulk commodities.

2. Extending the Industry Chain and Gradually Penetrating End-Use Markets
Furthermore, some traditional die-casting zinc alloy enterprises in the market are gradually expanding their industry chain, extending production to end-use products such as camping equipment and low-altitude parachuting equipment. Other enterprises leverage their resources and networks to explore and venture into familiar or promising fields, such as the lock industry.

3. Transition From "Traditional" to "Emerging"
Finally, due to the relatively sluggish domestic real estate market in recent years, and the significant proportion of die-casting zinc alloy applications in real estate, many alloy plants serving downstream real estate customers have seen declining business. Some enterprises in the market have reported that orders for NEVs have been booming in the past two years, while orders for emerging high-tech sectors such as optical modules and electronic components have also performed exceptionally well. This has brought more possibilities to the zinc alloy market.

In summary, facing increasingly fierce market competition, die-casting zinc alloy enterprises are actively seeking new development paths. With the entry of smelters, domestic die-casting zinc alloy resources will be more optimally integrated, bringing more opportunities to the industry. However, this will also intensify the market elimination process, forcing some small enterprises to exit amid this wave of transformation. Despite the challenges, the market also holds hope. It is believed that under the impetus of market optimization, the die-casting zinc alloy industry will continue to progress, revitalizing with new vitality and dynamism.

》Click to View the SMM Metal Industry Chain Database

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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