Enterprises are not optimistic for the future; Pr-Nd prices remain stable [SMM Daily Review]

This week, the rare earth market outside China showed a divergent pattern of “cerium up, the rest down.” Driven by price increases in China and rising ocean freight rates, cerium oxide FOB and CIF prices rose by $55/mt and $60/mt, respectively, while FOB offers for mainstream magnetic material raw materials such as praseodymium, neodymium, dysprosium, and terbium were generally lowered by $3-19.5/kg due to lower prices in China and tight supply caused by export controls. Although limited trading volumes supported premiums in markets outside China, expectations of an industrial slowdown in Europe triggered by the Middle East situation may suppress subsequent demand. On industry developments, Lynas’ Malaysia plant started samarium oxide production ahead of schedule, consolidating its position as the only commercial heavy rare earth separator outside China and advancing its 2030 strategy. In Australia, Terrain discovered high-grade magnetic rare earth ore intervals during drilling at its Western Australia project, highlighting significant resource potential.

[Latest Data From the General Administration of Customs] In January 2026, China’s exports of metallic dysprosium reached 6.1 mt, up 144% MoM and surging 553.55% YoY. The month’s export volume set a record high since the implementation of export control policies in April 2025 and also marked the highest level in nearly three years. The main export destinations were Vietnam (3.5 mt), South Korea (1.6 mt), and Estonia (1 mt).

[Latest Data from the General Administration of Customs] In January 2026, China exported 6,023.65 mt of NdFeB permanent magnets, up 1.2% MoM and down 5.2% YoY. In February 2026, China exported 4,738.9 mt of NdFeB permanent magnets, down 21% MoM and up 32% YoY. Cumulative exports in January-February 2026 reached 10,762.55 mt, up 8.26% YoY. (HS code: 85051110)