NewsFlash / Aluminium / Investors Cautious on Aluminum Production Outlook, Especially in China, Despite Current Growth
Investors Cautious on Aluminum Production Outlook, Especially in China, Despite Current Growth
iconOct 30, 2024 12:22
Source:SMM
According to foreign reports, a survey indicates that many investors are cautious about the future production of aluminum, particularly in China, the world's largest aluminum producer. China's aluminum production growth has benefited from robust demand and a stable hydropower supply in Yunnan Province. Amy Sergeant from Morgan Stanley noted, "We anticipate a slight surplus in the aluminum market over the next two years, which implies that if current conditions persist, prices will struggle to rise further." Meanwhile, she mentioned, "China's aluminum production continues to increase unexpectedly." Forecasts predict that the average spot price of aluminum on the London Metal Exchange in 2025 will be $2,568 per tonne, 1.7% lower than the recent closing price. Furthermore, the earlier projection of a 148,500-tonne shortage in aluminum supply for 2025 has now been revised to a surplus of 100,000 tonnes.

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