Rare Earth Prices Rose Overall, Losses for Magnetic Material Companies Intensified [SMM Analysis]

Published: Sep 11, 2024 10:27
Source: SMM
Last week, rare earth prices surged rapidly, with Pr-Nd oxide rising by 6.9%, dysprosium oxide by approximately 5%, and terbium oxide by 7.4%.

Last week, rare earth prices surged rapidly, with Pr-Nd oxide rising by 6.9%, dysprosium oxide by approximately 5%, and terbium oxide by 7.4%.

At the beginning of the week, China Northern Rare Earth increased its September listing prices. Pr-Nd oxide was priced at 403,200 yuan/mt, up 4.78% MoM from August 2024, while Pr-Nd alloy was priced at 500,000 yuan/mt, up 4.6% MoM from August 2024. Meanwhile, major magnetic material companies continued bidding for Pr-Nd alloy, increasing market demand for Pr-Nd and boosting expectations among holders, leading to a rapid rise in Pr-Nd quotations.

Due to increased downstream demand, inquiries for dysprosium and terbium products also rose. According to some mining and trading companies, auxiliary material exports are blocked, the duration of which is unclear, potentially impacting the operation of rare earth mines in Myanmar.

The rapid increase in rare earth prices has also triggered some market participants' concerns about high prices. It was understood that the order prices of downstream magnetic material companies remained low, intensifying losses. They remained cautious about purchasing high-priced rare earth materials, but holders' quotations were firm. With the peak season effect, SMM expects rare earth prices to continue fluctuating upward.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Rare Earth Daily Review: Rare earth market Pr-Nd consolidates, prices overall stable] Overall, the market today continued the pattern of "unchanged quotes, subdued trading": the cost side lacked directional guidance, with the market moving sideways for two consecutive days as both upstream and downstream remained in a wait-and-see stance. On the transaction side, Pr-Nd products were dominated by small rigid-demand orders, with actual negotiations centered on low-priced cargoes; the terbium series saw limited room for price concessions, with deals settling at the lower end, while inquiries for other varieties remained steady. In the short term, pre-holiday stockpiling expectations and cost support together form the lower bound for Pr-Nd prices, but an upward breakout still requires downstream actual order fulfillment and acceptance of high-priced cargoes. Pr-Nd prices are likely to drift higher within a narrow range.
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[Pr-Nd series remains stagnant all day with no drivers, dysprosium stable while terbium's decline pauses, magnetic material scrap continues to wait and see] Currently, although the supply of rare earth ion-adsorption ore in Southeast Asia has slightly recovered, oxide prices remain generally stable, and overall transaction prices for rare earth ore are in a stalemate.
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