SMM Zinc Market Morning Comment (Aug 1)

Published: Aug 1, 2024 09:25
Source: SMM
Overnight, LME zinc opened at $2,645/mt.

Overnight, LME zinc opened at $2,645/mt. After the opening, LME zinc moved along the average daily line, initially dipping to $2,645/mt. During the night session, LME zinc quickly surged to a high of $2,719/mt, then fell back to near the average daily line, and finally closed higher at $2,698/mt, up $47.5/mt, an increase of 1.79%. Trading volume increased to 11,373 lots, and open interest rose by 425 lots to 221,000 lots. Overnight, LME zinc recorded a bullish candlestick, with the 10-day moving average forming resistance above. LME zinc inventory decreased by 2,050 mt to 236,375 mt, a drop of 0.86%. The US non-farm payrolls data for July fell more than expected, indicating a slowdown in the US labour market. Together with US Fed officials hinting at a possible rate cut in September, this reinforced market expectations for a rate cut in September, leading to a weaker US dollar index and a rebound in LME zinc prices.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2409 contract opened at 22,850 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the session, SHFE zinc moved around the average daily line, reaching a high of 22,910 yuan/mt, then fell below the average daily line and fluctuated. Approaching the end of the trading session, SHFE zinc dipped to 22,755 yuan/mt and finally closed lower at 22,810 yuan/mt, down 30 yuan/mt, a decrease of 0.13%. Trading volume reduced to 72,697 lots, and open interest increased by 342 lots to 90,105 lots. Overnight, SHFE zinc recorded a bearish candlestick, with the 20-day moving average forming resistance above. The macroeconomic optimism brought by domestic meetings has not yet faded, coupled with the pull from overseas futures prices, SHFE zinc maintained a high-level trend, with its center continuing to shift upwards.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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