PCAM and CAM price review review and forecast

Published: May 24, 2024 22:26
Source: SMM
In the week of May 20-23, the prices of ternary cathode precursor rose, driven by rising prices of nickel salt and cobalt salts, which significantly increased its raw material costs.

Ternary Cathode Precursor

In the week of May 20-23, the prices of ternary cathode precursor rose, driven by rising prices of nickel salt and cobalt salts, which significantly increased its raw material costs. Precursor producers were plagued by rising nickel salt prices and tight nickel salt supply. Some integrated ternary cathode makers reduced their production of in-house stocked up in advance. To cope with rising raw material prices and raw material shortages, precursor producers mainly focused on fulfillment of long-term contracts. Looking ahead, high raw material prices should keep precursor prices at high levels, but weak demand means upside room will be minimal.

Ternary Cathode Material

Ternary cathode material prices rose in the week of May 20-23, boosted by climbing raw material prices. With growing amount of client-supplied lithium carbonate, cathode makers may reduce external procurement. On the supply side, since mid-to-late May, some ternary cathode material manufacturers have seen a reduction in orders, leading to a greater-than-expected decrease in May's production schedule. On the demand side, major battery cell manufacturers have reduced their demand for ternary cathode materials in May due to considerations of their finished product and raw material inventories. In the consumer and e-bike markets, the recent fluctuations in lithium prices have led to a wait-and-see sentiment among downstream buyers. It is expected that ternary cathode materials will remain weak in the future.


LFP

LFP price decline slowed down in the week of May 20-23, mainly tracking swings of lithium carbonate prices. LFP processing fees saw no large adjustments. LFP market was relatively stable in May. Energy storage market maintained positive growth rate. NEV sales were robust, but risk falling in June. To cope with rising stocks, some battery cell makers reduced LFP orders for June, but most LFP producers have not yet reported a sharp decline in their orders.


LCO

In the week of May 20-23, LCO prices remained stable. LCO supply saw a slight increase in May. Competition among manufacturers remains intense. On the demand side, battery cell manufacturers continue to restock as needed. Looking ahead, as lithium prices are expected to decline, LCO material prices are anticipated to remain weak as well.


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Ford Announces New European Strategy, to Launch Five New Passenger Cars Within Three Years
7 hours ago
Ford Announces New European Strategy, to Launch Five New Passenger Cars Within Three Years
Read More
Ford Announces New European Strategy, to Launch Five New Passenger Cars Within Three Years
Ford Announces New European Strategy, to Launch Five New Passenger Cars Within Three Years
Ford Motor Company announced that it will launch a comprehensive product and technology strategy in Europe over the next three years. Under this new strategy, its FordPro division will transform from a pure automaker into a productivity partner, leveraging software and services to maximize returns. Ford plans to launch five all-new passenger vehicles in Europe by the end of 2029, all manufactured in Europe.
7 hours ago
National Passenger Vehicle Industry Inventory Reached 3.54 Million Units at April Month-End
7 hours ago
National Passenger Vehicle Industry Inventory Reached 3.54 Million Units at April Month-End
Read More
National Passenger Vehicle Industry Inventory Reached 3.54 Million Units at April Month-End
National Passenger Vehicle Industry Inventory Reached 3.54 Million Units at April Month-End
Cui Dongshu, Secretary General of the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA),stated that the national passenger vehicle industry inventory stood at 3.54 million units at the end of April, up 90,000 units MoM and up 40,000 units compared to April 2025, forming a trend of sustained inventory growth. Among this, manufacturer inventory accounted for 29.8%, which was relatively high. The April forecast optimism was 36%, and the post-April satisfaction in early May was 7%. Expectations were low but satisfaction was even worse, mainly due to the significant impact of high oil prices. The team's optimism for the May market dropped to 27%, which was a relatively low level in recent market optimism assessments. Even after repeated downward adjustments, expectations have yet to turn more optimistic.
7 hours ago
South Korea's Total Auto Exports Reached $6.17 Billion in April, Down 5.5% YoY
7 hours ago
South Korea's Total Auto Exports Reached $6.17 Billion in April, Down 5.5% YoY
Read More
South Korea's Total Auto Exports Reached $6.17 Billion in April, Down 5.5% YoY
South Korea's Total Auto Exports Reached $6.17 Billion in April, Down 5.5% YoY
On May 20, data from South Korea's Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy showed that total automobile exports in April reached $6.17 billion, down 5.5% compared to the same period last year. Among them, exports to North America, Latin America, and Oceania were up 2.4%, 23.7%, and 20.1% YoY respectively, but due to the ongoing war between the US and Iran, exports to the Middle East plunged 38.7%; exports to the EU and Asia declined 13.1% and 31.7% respectively. The data also showed that due to disruptions in some auto parts supply chains and consumers waiting for new and facelifted versions of major car models to launch, China's automobile production fell 6.1% YoY to 362,000 units.
7 hours ago