Lithium Iron Phosphate Contract Negotiations Underway at End of March, Significant Improvement in Order Outlook Expected [SMM Weekly Review]

Published: Mar 29, 2024 18:41 (GMT+8)
Lithium Iron Phosphate Contract Negotiations Underway at End of March, Significant Improvement in Order Outlook Expected [SMM Weekly Review]

SMM News on March 29:

[Lithium Iron Phosphate] The trend of improving demand for lithium iron phosphate is becoming increasingly clear.

This week, lithium iron phosphate prices rose slightly. On the raw material side, the prices of upstream raw materials phosphoric acid and industrial ammonium for lithium iron phosphate remained firm. Currently, the mainstream lithium iron phosphate transaction price at the end of the month is above 10,000 yuan/ton. However, lithium iron phosphate companies with resource advantages still have some room for concessions. This week is the last week of March, and the market feedback indicates that some orders have not been finalized yet. It is expected that both parties will continue to follow up on new orders next week.

In terms of production, lithium iron phosphate companies produce based on sales. Lithium iron phosphate orders are expected to increase significantly in April, and lithium iron phosphate companies' operating rates will rise.

This Friday, SMM's lithium iron phosphate price was 10,000-10,800 yuan/ton, with an average price of 10,400 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan from last week.

[Lithium Iron Phosphate for Lithium-Ion] This week, lithium carbonate prices fell, and lithium iron phosphate prices eased slightly.

This week, on the cost side, although lithium carbonate prices eased, cathode manufacturers still found it difficult to negotiate discounts with lithium salt plants, and lithium iron phosphate prices remained relatively firm. Since March, lithium iron phosphate cathode manufacturers have passed on the rising lithium carbonate costs to downstream customers, and some battery cell manufacturers have gradually accepted lithium carbonate prices without discounts. If battery cell manufacturers still want a discount, cathode manufacturers will raise processing fees; if battery cell manufacturers accept prices without discounts, cathode manufacturers will offer some concessions on processing fees.

Currently, it appears that production in April will improve compared to March, with the downstream energy storage and power markets recovering. Some leading large manufacturers will see relatively significant increases. Companies whose production fell short of expectations in the first quarter will strive to meet their targets in the second quarter.

This Friday, SMM's lithium iron phosphate (for power type) price was 43,100-44,100 yuan/ton, with an average price of 43,600 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan from last week.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Cobalt-Lithium Morning Meeting Summary] Supply-demand expectations diverge, material prices under pressure, industry chain prosperity diverges
2 hours ago
[SMM Cobalt-Lithium Morning Meeting Summary] Supply-demand expectations diverge, material prices under pressure, industry chain prosperity diverges
Read More
[SMM Cobalt-Lithium Morning Meeting Summary] Supply-demand expectations diverge, material prices under pressure, industry chain prosperity diverges
[SMM Cobalt-Lithium Morning Meeting Summary] Supply-demand expectations diverge, material prices under pressure, industry chain prosperity diverges
Industry chain prices were generally under pressure this week, with supply and demand diverging across segments. The lithium market was hit by expectations of ample future supply, dragging the average battery-grade lithium carbonate price down to 104,400 yuan/mt, a weekly decline of 14.7%. Spot destocking and a stronger basis still provided some support, but salt plant inventories edged higher. Cobalt and nickel demand recovery remained insufficient, with cautious procurement keeping salt prices on a downtrend. Ternary cathode materials and LCO faced dual pressure from falling costs and weak orders. LFP supply and demand were stable, with prices easing alongside raw materials. Artificial graphite found relatively strong cost support, separator inventories were low with tightening supply-demand conditions, and electrolyte prices held steady. Sodium-ion battery orders grew and capacity releases accelerated, but profitability recovery lagged, leaving commercialization still constrained by economics. In the recycling market, black mass prices and procurement coefficients moved lower, strengthening buyer bargaining power. Competition intensified in end-user energy storage project bidding, with Jieyang project candidate quotes concentrated at 0.8–0.82 Yuan/Wh. Going forward, attention should focus on ore-side production resumptions, production schedule fulfillment, and actual restocking; industry chain stabilization still hinges on demand improvement.
2 hours ago
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Costs Keep Industry Chain Prices Under Pressure and Hitting Bottom
2 hours ago
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Costs Keep Industry Chain Prices Under Pressure and Hitting Bottom
Read More
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Costs Keep Industry Chain Prices Under Pressure and Hitting Bottom
[SMM Cobalt Morning Meeting Summary] Weak Demand and Falling Costs Keep Industry Chain Prices Under Pressure and Hitting Bottom
The industry chain remained weak this week, with insufficient demand and lower costs jointly weighing on prices. Refined cobalt fell below 250,000 yuan/mt, and smelter quotes may see further downward adjustments. Intermediate product trading stalled, with buyers and sellers staying on the sidelines. The cobalt sulphate market shifted to a buyer-dominated phase, with downstream target prices dropping to 46,000-48,000 yuan/mt, while high inventory costs kept price disagreements unresolved. Cobalt chloride and Co3O4 saw production cuts and destocking, with new purchases insufficient. Cobalt powder quotes fell to 330,000-340,000 yuan/mt, and cemented carbide demand recovered slowly. Ternary cathode precursor prices weakened, with export orders moderate and domestic demand diverging. Ternary cathode material was dragged down by falling raw material prices and order reductions, with October production schedules expected to remain flat MoM. LCO cost support weakened, end-user restocking was cautious, and prices still had downside. Overall, just-in-time procurement was unlikely to reverse the weakness, and stabilization would still require actual order improvement. In news, September EV and ESS battery sales rose 52% YoY, with new progress in corporate earnings and overseas project construction.
2 hours ago
20,000 mt Annual Output! Tinci Materials Indonesia Electrolyte Project Expected to Begin Trial Production by Year-End
3 hours ago
20,000 mt Annual Output! Tinci Materials Indonesia Electrolyte Project Expected to Begin Trial Production by Year-End
Read More
20,000 mt Annual Output! Tinci Materials Indonesia Electrolyte Project Expected to Begin Trial Production by Year-End
20,000 mt Annual Output! Tinci Materials Indonesia Electrolyte Project Expected to Begin Trial Production by Year-End
According to Tinci Materials (002709), construction of the electrolyte project in Indonesia is being accelerated. It is expected to enter trial production in December 2026. As the first lithium-ion battery electrolyte project in the park, the project is being advanced by PT Tinci Materials Indonesia, with a planned annual capacity of 20,000 mt of lithium-ion battery electrolyte. It will supplement key material support for the battery industry chain in the park and further enhance Tinci Materials' localized supply capability in Southeast Asia.
3 hours ago