Lithium Iron Phosphate Contract Negotiations Underway at End of March, Significant Improvement in Order Outlook Expected [SMM Weekly Review]

Published: Mar 29, 2024 18:41
Lithium Iron Phosphate Contract Negotiations Underway at End of March, Significant Improvement in Order Outlook Expected [SMM Weekly Review]

SMM News on March 29:

[Lithium Iron Phosphate] The trend of improving demand for lithium iron phosphate is becoming increasingly clear.

This week, lithium iron phosphate prices rose slightly. On the raw material side, the prices of upstream raw materials phosphoric acid and industrial ammonium for lithium iron phosphate remained firm. Currently, the mainstream lithium iron phosphate transaction price at the end of the month is above 10,000 yuan/ton. However, lithium iron phosphate companies with resource advantages still have some room for concessions. This week is the last week of March, and the market feedback indicates that some orders have not been finalized yet. It is expected that both parties will continue to follow up on new orders next week.

In terms of production, lithium iron phosphate companies produce based on sales. Lithium iron phosphate orders are expected to increase significantly in April, and lithium iron phosphate companies' operating rates will rise.

This Friday, SMM's lithium iron phosphate price was 10,000-10,800 yuan/ton, with an average price of 10,400 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan from last week.

[Lithium Iron Phosphate for Lithium-Ion] This week, lithium carbonate prices fell, and lithium iron phosphate prices eased slightly.

This week, on the cost side, although lithium carbonate prices eased, cathode manufacturers still found it difficult to negotiate discounts with lithium salt plants, and lithium iron phosphate prices remained relatively firm. Since March, lithium iron phosphate cathode manufacturers have passed on the rising lithium carbonate costs to downstream customers, and some battery cell manufacturers have gradually accepted lithium carbonate prices without discounts. If battery cell manufacturers still want a discount, cathode manufacturers will raise processing fees; if battery cell manufacturers accept prices without discounts, cathode manufacturers will offer some concessions on processing fees.

Currently, it appears that production in April will improve compared to March, with the downstream energy storage and power markets recovering. Some leading large manufacturers will see relatively significant increases. Companies whose production fell short of expectations in the first quarter will strive to meet their targets in the second quarter.

This Friday, SMM's lithium iron phosphate (for power type) price was 43,100-44,100 yuan/ton, with an average price of 43,600 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan from last week.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Analysis] Chile's SQM Exceeds Q2 Profit Projections Amid Tighter Lithium Supply-Demand, Sales Up 59% YoY
5 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Chile's SQM Exceeds Q2 Profit Projections Amid Tighter Lithium Supply-Demand, Sales Up 59% YoY
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Chile's SQM Exceeds Q2 Profit Projections Amid Tighter Lithium Supply-Demand, Sales Up 59% YoY
[SMM Analysis] Chile's SQM Exceeds Q2 Profit Projections Amid Tighter Lithium Supply-Demand, Sales Up 59% YoY
SQM reported Q2 2026 net income of $660.0 million, up 646.4% year-on-year, on revenue of $2,468.4 million (+136.7% YoY) and gross profit of $1,260.0 million, versus $253.0 million a year earlier. Lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) sales volumes hit a record 84,100 tonnes, up 59% year-on-year and roughly 22% quarter-on-quarter (from ~69,000 tonnes in Q1 2026). Novandino's average realized lithium price reached ~$21.8/kg (+23% QoQ, +160% YoY); the International Lithium Division's average realized spodumene price hit ~$2,048/tonne (+40% QoQ, +160% YoY). Lithium and Derivatives segment revenue totaled $1,779.2 million, up 299.7% YoY and accounting for 78% of H1 consolidated gross profit. CEO Ricardo Ramos attributed the quarter's price gains to stronger-than-expected demand, with volumes drawn jointly from Novandino (Chile, JV with Codelco) and Covalent Lithium (Australia, JV with Wesfarmers). Novandino advanced the Salar Futuro project in July, submitting environmental and technical documentation for the roughly $3 billion, seven-year expansion of Atacama operations. SQM and Wesfarmers also confirmed an expansion of the Mt. Holland mine and concentrator, set to double SQM's attributable spodumene capacity to ~350,000 tonnes SC6% per year, with first output in 2030. SMM View: The 59% YoY volume jump reflects the depth of last year's downturn trough; the ~22% QoQ gain is the more relevant read on current momentum. With Salar Futuro advancing, Mt. Holland's expansion confirmed, and realized prices rising sequentially across both Chile and Australia, SQM's results point to continued volume and price strength into Q3 2026.
5 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] DRC Advances $2B Musompo Battery Precursor Zone to Strengthen Africa's Lithium-Ion Supply Chain
5 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] DRC Advances $2B Musompo Battery Precursor Zone to Strengthen Africa's Lithium-Ion Supply Chain
Read More
[SMM Analysis] DRC Advances $2B Musompo Battery Precursor Zone to Strengthen Africa's Lithium-Ion Supply Chain
[SMM Analysis] DRC Advances $2B Musompo Battery Precursor Zone to Strengthen Africa's Lithium-Ion Supply Chain
The Democratic Republic of Congo is advancing plans to establish a major battery precursor manufacturing hub in Lualaba province, positioning itself within the lithium-ion battery materials supply chain as the country seeks to move beyond raw mineral exports. The government approved the Musompo Special Economic Zone as a priority project in February 2026, marking a step toward integrating DRC's mineral base into the cathode-active-material stage of the battery value chain. From Minerals to Lithium-Ion Battery Materials: Musompo is designed to produce nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) precursor materials the cobalt- and nickel-bearing intermediate that is combined with a lithium source (typically lithium carbonate or lithium hydroxide) to produce NMC cathode-active material, one of the two dominant lithium-ion battery chemistries alongside LFP. The 900-hectare industrial zone reflects the DRC's broader strategy to capture value at the precursor stage rather than exporting cobalt in raw or intermediate form to Asian cathode producers. Scale and Investment Timeline: The zone is expected to attract approximately $2 billion in private investment once fully developed, with initial construction requiring more than $200 million. Metric, the 900-hectare project was approved as a priority project in February 2026 to produce NMC battery precursor materials, carrying an estimated construction cost of over $200 million and expected to draw approximately $2 billion in private investment while creating around 25,000 direct and 60,000 indirect jobs. DRC's Role in the Lithium Battery Materials Chain: Global lithium-ion battery demand continues to expand on the back of EV adoption and energy storage growth, sustaining strong demand for both NMC and LFP cathode inputs. While DRC itself is not a lithium producer, its cobalt supply position gives it direct relevance to the NMC segment of the lithium battery materials market, which competes with LFP (increasingly supplied by lithium chemical producers rather than cobalt) for cell manufacturing share. Historically, the precursor and cathode-active-material stages of this chain where cobalt, nickel and lithium chemicals are converted into battery-ready materials have been concentrated outside Africa, primarily in China. Musompo is intended to shift part of that midstream capacity onto the continent. Africa's Lithium and Battery Materials Chain Remains Underdeveloped: Africa's raw lithium and cobalt resource base remains far ahead of its downstream battery materials capacity. Zimbabwe has advanced spodumene concentrate production and is moving toward early-stage beneficiation, while Zambia and the DRC are pursuing regional cooperation on battery mineral value addition. Musompo adds a precursor-stage node to this emerging landscape, though it does not itself close the loop with a domestic lithium chemical supply any NMC precursor output would still require lithium carbonate/hydroxide sourced externally, likely from Chinese refiners given current African lithium projects largely export spodumene concentrate rather than converting it locally. Conclusion: Musompo represents a meaningful step in the DRC's push to capture more value from the lithium-ion battery supply chain, specifically on the NMC precursor side. Its success depends on execution: power availability and infrastructure buildout in Lualaba remain the primary constraints, and its impact on the broader African lithium battery materials picture will be limited unless paired with progress on domestic lithium conversion capacity elsewhere on the continent e.g., Zimbabwe, Mali. SMM View: Musompo strengthens the cobalt/nickel side of Africa's NMC precursor capacity but does not directly address the continent's lithium conversion gap spodumene concentrate from Zimbabwe, Mali and Namibia is still overwhelmingly exported for offshore conversion into lithium chemicals. The more consequential development for Africa's lithium battery materials value chain will be whether beneficiation projects on the lithium side (rather than the cobalt side) can achieve similar SEZ-backed investment momentum.
5 hours ago
Zhang Xue Visits Ampace Today, Says Zhang Xue Electric Motorcycle Could Enter Mass Production as Early as Next Year
6 hours ago
Zhang Xue Visits Ampace Today, Says Zhang Xue Electric Motorcycle Could Enter Mass Production as Early as Next Year
Read More
Zhang Xue Visits Ampace Today, Says Zhang Xue Electric Motorcycle Could Enter Mass Production as Early as Next Year
Zhang Xue Visits Ampace Today, Says Zhang Xue Electric Motorcycle Could Enter Mass Production as Early as Next Year
[Zhang Xue Visits Ampace Today, Says Zhang Xue Electric Motorcycle Could Enter Mass Production as Early as Next Year] ZXMOTO founder Zhang Xue visited Ampace for a field trip and exchange on August 20. Zhang Xue stated that the Zhang Xue electric motorcycle could enter mass production as early as next year. In May of this year, Ampace and ZXMOTO had already begun discussions on specific collaboration plans. Ampace is a lithium battery enterprise jointly established by CATL and ATL.
6 hours ago
Lithium Iron Phosphate Contract Negotiations Underway at End of March, Significant Improvement in Order Outlook Expected [SMM Weekly Review] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)