The Probability That The Fed Will Keep Interest Rates Unchanged In November Is 74.5%

Published: Sep 26, 2023 17:14

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The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in November is 74.5%, and that of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the 5.50%-5.75% range is 25.5%. There is a 59.3% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged by December, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate hike is 35.5%, and a cumulative 50 basis point interest rate hike is 5.2%.

Macro economy

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