Copper prices went down overnight on rebounding US dollar index

Published: Sep 26, 2023 10:14
LME copper prices opened at $8163/mt and closed at $8149/mt last evening, down 0.6%. Trading volume was 17,000 lots and open interest stood at 266,000 lots.

LME copper prices opened at $8163/mt and closed at $8149/mt last evening, down 0.6%. Trading volume was 17,000 lots and open interest stood at 266,000 lots. The most active SHFE 2311 copper contract prices opened at 67800 yuan/mt and finished at 67480 yuan/mt last evening, down 0.57%, with the low-end of 67410 yuan/mt and the high-end of 67880 yuan/mt. Trading volume was 28,000 lots, and open interest stood at 146,000 lots.

On the macro front, Chicago Fed President Goolsby, who is regarded as a dovish representative, said that continued high inflation risk is a greater risk, a soft landing is possible, and it "feels" that interest rates will be maintained at high levels for longer than the market expects. The Fed's hawkish comments sent the dollar higher and copper prices were under pressure. In terms of fundamentals, market activity was relatively brisk ahead of holidays.

Transactions in East China were acceptable, but the price difference between the cargoes with front-month invoice and with next-month invoice widened. Inventories in South China have declined for four consecutive days, mainly due to the increase in demand before the holiday. Available spot resources were not abundant, and the spot premiums in South China rose In terms of consumption, there is more demand for downstream replenishment near the holidays, and it is expected that consumer demand will increase significantly this week. Copper prices will weaken due to higher US dollar.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Panguna Copper Mine Moves Closer to Potential Redevelopment as Lloyds Metals Receives Preparatory Works Approval
19 hours ago
Panguna Copper Mine Moves Closer to Potential Redevelopment as Lloyds Metals Receives Preparatory Works Approval
Read More
Panguna Copper Mine Moves Closer to Potential Redevelopment as Lloyds Metals Receives Preparatory Works Approval
Panguna Copper Mine Moves Closer to Potential Redevelopment as Lloyds Metals Receives Preparatory Works Approval
According to foreign media reports, Lloyds Metals & Energy has been authorized to undertake preparatory works and feasibility activities aimed at assessing the potential redevelopment of the Panguna copper-gold mine in Bougainville, Papua New Guinea, nearly four decades after the operation was shut down. The Autonomous Bougainville Government granted the authorization on August 7, allowing Lloyds to carry out an approved programme of preparatory and feasibility work required to assess and plan the future redevelopment of the mine. Lloyds is acting as the approved development partner of government-owned Bougainville Minerals, which holds the mining lease covering Panguna. The project represents a potentially significant source of long-term copper supply. Panguna's remaining reserves are estimated at approximately 5.3 million tonnes of copper and 19.3 million oz of gold, while Lloyds plans to revalidate the project's resource base as part of the redevelopment process. The mine has remained closed since 1989. The latest authorization follows the granting of a 25-year mining lease to Bougainville Minerals in June, providing a framework for further evaluation of the dormant asset. However, the current approval does not permit construction or copper production to begin. Any progression into those stages will require additional approvals, meaning a potential restart remains subject to further technical, regulatory and development work. The renewed progress at Panguna is notable given the scale of the historical deposit and growing efforts globally to develop additional copper supply. The immediate impact on mine supply remains limited, but successful feasibility work and resource revalidation could provide greater clarity on whether one of the world's largest dormant copper assets can eventually return to production.
19 hours ago
Bezant Resources Completes First Blast at Namibian Copper-Gold Project, Aiming for Concentrate Production
19 hours ago
Bezant Resources Completes First Blast at Namibian Copper-Gold Project, Aiming for Concentrate Production
Read More
Bezant Resources Completes First Blast at Namibian Copper-Gold Project, Aiming for Concentrate Production
Bezant Resources Completes First Blast at Namibian Copper-Gold Project, Aiming for Concentrate Production
Bezant Resources PLC has completed the first blast at the Hope open pit within its 90%-owned Hope & Gorob copper-gold project in Namibia, marking a further step toward mining and future concentrate production at the project. The initial blast involved approximately 20,000 tonnes of material and is expected to liberate around 2,000 tonnes of commercially viable mineralisation. Preliminary evaluation of the exposed mineralisation indicates that its location and grade are broadly consistent with the project's existing geological block model. Following the blast, grade-control work will compare assay results from blasthole samples with the exposed mineralisation to refine ore selection. Mining and transportation of run-of-mine (ROM) ore to the Tsaoxaub Metals flotation plant are expected to begin shortly, where material will be stockpiled ahead of future plant commissioning. Preparations for further mining are also progressing. Blastholes have already been drilled for a second blast, while the mining contractor has commenced ground clearance and separation of ore and waste for haulage. Recruitment of plant operators is ongoing following the appointment of the plant site manager, while the mine geology team is working with external consultants to validate the existing block model. The first blast represents an important operational milestone as Hope & Gorob moves closer to the processing stage. The next key developments will be the delivery of ROM ore to the plant, commissioning of the flotation facility and eventual production of saleable concentrate, providing clearer indications of the project's transition from development into copper-gold production.
19 hours ago
Antofagasta Cuts 2026 Copper Output Guidance Following Los Pelambres Shutdown
19 hours ago
Antofagasta Cuts 2026 Copper Output Guidance Following Los Pelambres Shutdown
Read More
Antofagasta Cuts 2026 Copper Output Guidance Following Los Pelambres Shutdown
Antofagasta Cuts 2026 Copper Output Guidance Following Los Pelambres Shutdown
According to foreign media reports, Chilean copper producer Antofagasta has lowered its 2026 copper production guidance following a weather-related shutdown at its Los Pelambres mine, reducing expected output at a time when global copper mine supply remains under pressure.​ Antofagasta now expects to produce 625,000–655,000 tonnes of copper in 2026, compared with its previous guidance of 650,000–700,000 tonnes. The revised range lowers the midpoint of the company's production outlook by 35,000 tonnes and reduces the upper end of its forecast by 45,000 tonnes.​ The downgrade follows the temporary shutdown of Los Pelambres in July after extreme rainfall affected Chile's Coquimbo Region. Although no significant damage was reported to major infrastructure, repairs are required to some pipeline platforms and water-management systems following the disruption.​ Despite lower production, stronger copper prices supported Antofagasta's financial performance during the first half of 2026. EBITDA increased 27% year on year to $2.84 billion, while operating cash flow rose 53% to $2.77 billion. First-half cash costs declined 8% year on year to $1.22/lb, although the company previously indicated that full-year costs are expected to increase amid persistently elevated fuel prices.​ From a copper-market perspective, the guidance reduction represents a further downward adjustment to expected mine supply from Chile, the world's largest copper-producing country. The disruption at Los Pelambres also highlights the continued vulnerability of near-term supply to operational and weather-related interruptions, with Antofagasta's reduced production outlook adding to existing constraints on global copper mine growth.
19 hours ago