SMM Morning Comments (May 31): Base Metals Closed Mostly with Losses amid Hawkish Remarks

Published: May 31, 2023 09:52
Source: SMM
LME and SHFE base metals closed mostly with losses overnight amid bearish market outlook. On the macro front, news of an emergency meeting of Japanese officials pushed the yen higher and the dollar retreated from its highs on Tuesday. In addition, the U.S. debt ceiling agreement was reached, which will restrict some spending. Market optimism took a toll on the dollar. The market is awaiting US job data due this Friday.

SHANGHAI, May 31 (SMM) – LME and SHFE base metals closed mostly with losses overnight amid bearish market outlook. On the macro front, news of an emergency meeting of Japanese officials pushed the yen higher and the dollar retreated from its highs on Tuesday. In addition, the U.S. debt ceiling agreement was reached, which will restrict some spending. Market optimism took a toll on the dollar. The market is awaiting US job data due this Friday.

Copper: LME copper prices closed at $8,115/mt last evening, down 0.29%. Trading volume was 16,000 lots and open interest stood at 257,000 lots. The most active SHFE 2307 copper contract prices finished at 64,840 yuan/mt last evening, down 0.14%. Trading volume was 44,000 lots and open interest stood at 197,000 lots. On the macro front, news of an emergency meeting of Japanese officials pushed the yen higher and the dollar retreated from its highs on Tuesday. In addition, the U.S. debt ceiling agreement was reached, which will restrict some spending. Market optimism took a toll on the dollar. The market is awaiting US job data due this Friday. Spot supply was tight and sellers raised their quotes in Shanghai. In south China, due to the large amounts of cargoes under warrants offered for sale and higher SHFE copper prices, sellers sold actively. Spot quotes fell and overall trades were quiet. Some downstream enterprises mainly worked through raw material inventories against high spot quotes. It is expected that copper prices will remain relatively low in the short term.

Aluminium: Overnight, the most-traded SHFE 2307 aluminum contract closed at 17,940 yuan/mt, down 5 yuan/mt or 0.03%. LME aluminum closed at $2,228/mt, a drop of $7.5/mt or 0.67%.

It is estimated that the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 percentage points in June is about 66%, which would be the 11th consecutive interest rate hike.  Fundamentally, the domestic aluminum supply grew while demand weakened. But stockpiling by downstream producers driven by high aluminium liquid ratio and lower aluminium prices continued to reduce aluminium ingot inventories. Aluminum price may be under pressure and fluctuate around 18,000 yuan/mt.

Lead: Overnight, LME lead opened at $2,070.5/mt and closed at $2,068.5/mt after hitting the lowest point at $2,050/mt and the highest point at $2,075.5/mt, down 0.34%. The open interest increased 1,387 lots to 116,000 lots compared with the previous trading day, and the trading volume decreased 389 lots to 3,444 lots.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE 2307 lead contract opened at 15,230 yuan/mt and closed at 15,220 yuan/mt after hitting the highest point at 15,235 yuan/mt. The open interest decreased 878 lots to 55,892 lots compared with the previous trading day, the trading volume decreased 21,678 lots to 15,092 lots.

Zinc: LME stocks of zinc decreased 225 mt to 74,325 mt. But the hawkish remarks on the macro front weighed on the market sentiment. Overnight, SHFE zinc prices declined.

Tin: Yesterday night, SHFE 2307 tin contract prices gradually dipped after opening and closed 208,220 yuan/mt after hitting the lowest point at 207,410 yuan/mt, down 0.53%.

Nickel:

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
14 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
14 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
14 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
14 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
14 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
14 hours ago