[SMM Cobalt-Lithium Morning Meeting Summary] Raw material prices pull back significantly, supply-demand looseness intensifies, and the industry chain is under pressure.
Battery materials industry chain was in the doldrums this week, with raw material prices broadly falling and slowing end-use demand adding to market pressure. The average spot price of battery-grade carbonate fell to 96,100 yuan/mt, while the most-traded futures contract tumbled 8.4% to 88,360 yuan/mt. Inventory dropped to 128,385 mt, with weekly destocking of 1,894 mt, though smelter inventory continued to accumulate. Electrolytic metal electronic trading prices fell from 230,000 yuan/mt to around 200,000 yuan/mt, while low-priced sulphate transactions dropped to 38,000-39,000 yuan/mt, with nickel salt prices weakening in tandem. Ternary cathode precursors and cathode materials remained under pressure, dragged down by lower costs and insufficient orders. LFP prices were basically stable, but weakening power demand pushed enterprise inventory higher. Anode and separator prices held steady, while electrolyte continued to decline under the impact of lower core raw material prices. The sodium-ion battery market showed clear divergence, with energy storage scenarios remaining the main growth support, while the recycling market saw sluggish transactions due to raw material price fluctuations. Overall, supply growth and cautious downstream procurement formed a persistent tug-of-war, with enterprises generally controlling inventory and slowing production schedules. Prices still face downward pressure in the short term, with focus on end-use demand recovery, inventory destocking, and raw material price changes.