Global Aluminium Inventory to Plunge Further amid Supply Headwinds, LME Aluminium Prices to React Fast

[SMM Weekly Survey on Aluminum Downstream: This Week, Aluminum Processing Operating Rate Dropped 0.2 Percentage Point to 61.1%, Off-Season Effect Deepens and Continues] Overall, as the off-season effect deepens, downward pressure on the industry's operating rate remains unabated. Export orders for aluminum plate/sheet and strip and aluminum foil provide some temporary support, while other sub-sectors are expected to remain in the doldrums in the short term.

Southeast Asia's aluminum scrap market rebounded this week, with key grades in Malaysia and Thailand rising, while ADC12 prices softened amid weak downstream demand. Despite lower LME aluminum prices, tight scrap supply kept offers firm. Sentiment improved slightly, but buying remained need-based. Attention also shifted to US Section 232 developments and their potential impact on trade flows and regional supply.

[SMM Aluminum Express] On July 18, the Chenfeng Carbon Green and Energy-Saving Integrated Project of Qiya Xinjiang Group achieved another critical construction breakthrough as its core baking workshop successfully completed equipment installation and officially entered the full-line interlocking commissioning phase. This milestone, following the trial production at the assembly workshop on June 15, means that the project’s entire production process has been fully integrated, bringing it one step closer to formal commissioning. The project is a core supporting initiative for Qiya Xinjiang Group to complete the “coal – electricity – aluminum – carbon” integrated industry chain. Located in the Zhundong Economic and Technological Development Zone in Changji, Xinjiang, it is planned to produce 200kt of prebaked anodes annually, aiming to supply high-quality prebaked anodes for the group’s internal aluminum production, thereby ensuring self-sufficiency and reducing dependence on external procurement and logistics costs.