JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank See US Recession in the Cards

Published: Apr 28, 2023 22:58
The initial annualised rate of U.S. GDP in the first quarter rose 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, estimated at 2.0%, and the previous value was at 2.6%.

The initial annualised rate of U.S. GDP in the first quarter rose 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, estimated at 2.0%, and the previous value was at 2.6%.

Analysts believe that although the U.S. economy achieved growth last year, as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the abnormal tension in the labour market has not eased, and the housing market and other areas have shown signs of recession.

Coupled with weak consumer spending, the US economy is likely to slow down in the second half of this year or even enter a recession.

At present, financial institutions such as JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank all predict that the US economy is likely to experience a slight or mild recession in the second half of this year.

Increasing Countries Join "De-Dollarisation" amid Currency Settlement Diversification, Here are Their Various Policies, RMB Internationalisation is Accelerating

World’s Top Banks Up China's GDP Growth Forecast This Year as First Quarter Report Far Exceed Expectations

Wall Street Bullish on China Economy, JPMorgan, BofA, Citigroup Raised Forecast citing Strong Chinese Recovery

Bank of America Raises China's Economic Growth Forecast

IMF Lowered Global Economic Growth Forecast for 2023-2024, Warns of Further Impact from Banking Crisis

IMF: China is World's Largest Economic Growth Driver in Five Years, will Twice that of the US, Growth Forecast for Various Countries


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Divergent Labour Day Production Strategies Among China's Secondary Copper Rod Firms Amid Policy and Capital Pressures"
55 mins ago
"Divergent Labour Day Production Strategies Among China's Secondary Copper Rod Firms Amid Policy and Capital Pressures"
Read More
"Divergent Labour Day Production Strategies Among China's Secondary Copper Rod Firms Amid Policy and Capital Pressures"
"Divergent Labour Day Production Strategies Among China's Secondary Copper Rod Firms Amid Policy and Capital Pressures"
During the 2026 Labour Day holiday, production arrangements among China's secondary copper rod enterprises showed a notable divergence, with some choosing to halt production for the holiday while others maintained normal operations
55 mins ago
Cautious Stockpiling Amid High Copper Prices, Finished Product Inventories Down Slightly Before Labour Day
Apr 30, 2026 22:09
Cautious Stockpiling Amid High Copper Prices, Finished Product Inventories Down Slightly Before Labour Day
Read More
Cautious Stockpiling Amid High Copper Prices, Finished Product Inventories Down Slightly Before Labour Day
Cautious Stockpiling Amid High Copper Prices, Finished Product Inventories Down Slightly Before Labour Day
[SMM Copper Wire and Cable Weekly Inventory] Despite the approaching Labour Day holiday, overall enterprise stockpiling sentiment remained cautious due to high copper prices. As a result, raw material inventories of mainstream copper wire and cable enterprises in China edged up 2.58% WoW. Finished product inventories side, some wire and cable enterprises suspended quotations during the Labour Day holiday, and some end-users cautiously picked up goods in advance, driving finished product inventories down slightly by 2.42% WoW.
Apr 30, 2026 22:09
Copper Wire and Cable Industry Sees Decline in Operating Rates Amid High Copper Prices
Apr 30, 2026 22:08
Copper Wire and Cable Industry Sees Decline in Operating Rates Amid High Copper Prices
Read More
Copper Wire and Cable Industry Sees Decline in Operating Rates Amid High Copper Prices
Copper Wire and Cable Industry Sees Decline in Operating Rates Amid High Copper Prices
This week (April 24–April 30), the SMM operating rate of copper wire and cable enterprises was 65.9%, down 1.09 percentage points WoW. Copper prices hovered at highs this week, and earlier concentrated procurement had front-loaded some subsequent demand. Industry orders in the wire and cable industry remained weak, with operating rates continuing to decline. Next week, wire and cable industry operations will continue to pull back. Most enterprises will have a short Labour Day holiday break, with some choosing to cut production or maintain operations without shutting down. The operating rate is expected to continue falling by 3.12 percentage points WoW to 62.78%.
Apr 30, 2026 22:08