JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank See US Recession in the Cards

Published: Apr 28, 2023 22:58
The initial annualised rate of U.S. GDP in the first quarter rose 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, estimated at 2.0%, and the previous value was at 2.6%.

The initial annualised rate of U.S. GDP in the first quarter rose 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, estimated at 2.0%, and the previous value was at 2.6%.

Analysts believe that although the U.S. economy achieved growth last year, as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the abnormal tension in the labour market has not eased, and the housing market and other areas have shown signs of recession.

Coupled with weak consumer spending, the US economy is likely to slow down in the second half of this year or even enter a recession.

At present, financial institutions such as JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank all predict that the US economy is likely to experience a slight or mild recession in the second half of this year.

Increasing Countries Join "De-Dollarisation" amid Currency Settlement Diversification, Here are Their Various Policies, RMB Internationalisation is Accelerating

World’s Top Banks Up China's GDP Growth Forecast This Year as First Quarter Report Far Exceed Expectations

Wall Street Bullish on China Economy, JPMorgan, BofA, Citigroup Raised Forecast citing Strong Chinese Recovery

Bank of America Raises China's Economic Growth Forecast

IMF Lowered Global Economic Growth Forecast for 2023-2024, Warns of Further Impact from Banking Crisis

IMF: China is World's Largest Economic Growth Driver in Five Years, will Twice that of the US, Growth Forecast for Various Countries


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
As the final trading day approaches, Shanghai spot copper premiums remain strong [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
2 hours ago
As the final trading day approaches, Shanghai spot copper premiums remain strong [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
Read More
As the final trading day approaches, Shanghai spot copper premiums remain strong [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
As the final trading day approaches, Shanghai spot copper premiums remain strong [SMM Shanghai spot copper]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, next Monday marks the last trading day for the SHFE copper 2606 contract. According to SMM's #1 copper cathode price assessment methodology, SMM always quotes against the front-month contract. During the day, the center of copper prices moved up, and downstream procurement sentiment pulled back slightly, indicating that high prices somewhat curbed demand. Approaching delivery, suppliers showed a relatively strong willingness to deliver their open interest, keeping available cargo tight. In addition, spot inventory in the Guangdong region remained at a low level, with offers at a premium of around 200 yuan/mt, which may lend some support to premiums in the Shanghai region. Overall, premiums for Shanghai spot copper against the SHFE 2606 copper contract next Monday are expected to remain at a premium level.
2 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jun 12)
2 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jun 12)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jun 12)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jun 12)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 12 Jun , 2026
2 hours ago
Geopolitical Cooling Meets Sticky Inflation, Copper Prices Swing Wildly at Highs [SMM Macro Weekly Review]
2 hours ago
Geopolitical Cooling Meets Sticky Inflation, Copper Prices Swing Wildly at Highs [SMM Macro Weekly Review]
Read More
Geopolitical Cooling Meets Sticky Inflation, Copper Prices Swing Wildly at Highs [SMM Macro Weekly Review]
Geopolitical Cooling Meets Sticky Inflation, Copper Prices Swing Wildly at Highs [SMM Macro Weekly Review]
2 hours ago
JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank See US Recession in the Cards - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)