Nickel Prices to Bear Pressure from Economic Recession and Electrowinning Nickel Output Increase

Published: Apr 17, 2023 09:24
Source: SMM
The spread between the SHFE 2304 and 2305 nickel narrowed slightly last week.

SHANGHAI, Apr 17 (SMM) - The spread between the SHFE 2304 and 2305 nickel narrowed slightly last week. Most traders have included the spot NORNICKEL nickel in sources for warrant delivery, and no cleared spots flowed into China, resulting in the firm premiums of NORNICKEL nickel. As for the domestic pure nickel, according to SMM research, profit margins of electrowinning nickel companies that produced with nickel sulphate or MHP grew despite the increase in nickel prices, but these companies still did not change their original plan of delaying the production. In early April, 300-series stainless steel profits have improved somewhat. Orders received by the state-owned stainless steel mills were acceptable. Some mills even ramped up the production. Therefore, the overall output of 300-series stainless steel in April will grow. In addition, alloy manufacturers will increase production amid the better consumption in April, which will drive up pure nickel demand. The supply tightness and the improvement in demand beefed up nickel prices to a certain extent. However, the rate hikes have led to a slight economic recession, and the electrowinning nickel output is expected to increase, which may weigh on nickel prices.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM Nickel Flash: NPI Market Weakens, Sentiment and Trading Sluggish in June
5 hours ago
SMM Nickel Flash: NPI Market Weakens, Sentiment and Trading Sluggish in June
Read More
SMM Nickel Flash: NPI Market Weakens, Sentiment and Trading Sluggish in June
SMM Nickel Flash: NPI Market Weakens, Sentiment and Trading Sluggish in June
[SMM Nickel Flash] June 24 - The SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor was 2.23, down 0.04 MoM. The upstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 2.59, down 0.08 MoM, and the downstream sentiment factor was 1.86, down 0.02 MoM. The NPI market weakened overall today, with extremely sluggish trading. The supply-demand price spread continued to widen. The substitution effect of steel scrap, combined with expectations of steel mill maintenance, doubly weighed on NPI demand.
5 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] May Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products Import and Export
5 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] May Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products Import and Export
Read More
[SMM Analysis] May Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products Import and Export
[SMM Analysis] May Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products Import and Export
5 hours ago
[SMM Flash News] Indonesia Reportedly Considering Easing Nickel Mining Quotas in H2; Unconfirmed by ESDM
7 hours ago
[SMM Flash News] Indonesia Reportedly Considering Easing Nickel Mining Quotas in H2; Unconfirmed by ESDM
Read More
[SMM Flash News] Indonesia Reportedly Considering Easing Nickel Mining Quotas in H2; Unconfirmed by ESDM
[SMM Flash News] Indonesia Reportedly Considering Easing Nickel Mining Quotas in H2; Unconfirmed by ESDM
Market rumors suggest that Indonesia may relax the restrictions on the annual nickel ore mining quota (RKAB) in the second half of this year. This move may alleviate the tight raw material supply situation of local smelting enterprises, but it may also put downward pressure on international nickel prices. According to an unnamed informed source, the government may adjust a significant amount of the total annual nickel ore mining quota in the middle of the year, and some nickel ore enterprises plan to submit applications for quota increases early next month. However, the news is currently highly uncertain. As of now, there have been no clear reports from local Indonesian media, and the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) of Indonesia has not issued any official news or statements to confirm the claim regarding a substantial quota revision. The plan to relax the quota still has significant uncertainties, and SMM will continue to closely monitor the actual progress and official developments of this event.
7 hours ago
Nickel Prices to Bear Pressure from Economic Recession and Electrowinning Nickel Output Increase - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)