Macro Headwinds to Leave Aluminium Prices Vulnerable 

Published: Mar 16, 2023 10:10
Source: SMM
SHANGHAI, Mar 16 (SMM) – Affected by macro sentiment, non-ferrous metals prices generally fell.

SHANGHAI, Mar 16 (SMM) – Affected by macro sentiment, non-ferrous metals prices generally fell. The most-traded SHFE 2304 aluminium contract opened at 18,210 yuan/mt overnight and fell to around 18,000 yuan/mt before closing at 18,070 yuan/mt, down 285 yuan/mt or 1.55%. LME aluminium opened at $2,349/mt on Wednesday and sank to $2,261/mt before closing at $2,281/mt, down 3%.

On the macro level, in recent days, the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank and the credit turmoil of Credit Suisse Bank have increased market concerns about global liquidity issues and systemic risks. Surging risk aversion caused hammered commodity market. The fundamentals of aluminium market have not changed much. The demand is gradually recovering. However, under the influence of bearish macro sentiment, it is expected that the aluminium prices will be vulnerable to decline. 
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Secondary Aluminum Market Rises; ADC12 Prices Up, Raw Material Costs Pressured Amid Stricter Scrutiny
27 mins ago
Secondary Aluminum Market Rises; ADC12 Prices Up, Raw Material Costs Pressured Amid Stricter Scrutiny
Read More
Secondary Aluminum Market Rises; ADC12 Prices Up, Raw Material Costs Pressured Amid Stricter Scrutiny
Secondary Aluminum Market Rises; ADC12 Prices Up, Raw Material Costs Pressured Amid Stricter Scrutiny
[SMM Aluminum Alloy Alert] The secondary aluminum market consolidated on a strong note today. SMM ADC12 prices rose by 50 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Raw material side, compliant aluminum scrap procurement became more difficult. Particularly, with reverse invoicing supervision further tightened in Henan, Jiangxi, and other regions recently, some areas saw business suspensions or intensified inspections, putting upward pressure on enterprises' actual raw material costs. Demand side, although end-user orders improved from the off-season, no significant volume increase has emerged yet. The traditional peak season effect is still in a gradual realization phase, and downstream buyers mainly made just-in-time procurement.
27 mins ago
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Down 246 mt to 12,701 mt in Key Consumption Areas
4 hours ago
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Down 246 mt to 12,701 mt in Key Consumption Areas
Read More
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Down 246 mt to 12,701 mt in Key Consumption Areas
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Down 246 mt to 12,701 mt in Key Consumption Areas
[SMM Aluminum Flash] China's social inventory of secondary aluminum ingots in the three major consumption areas stood at 12,701 mt today, down 246 mt from the previous trading day.
4 hours ago
US Treasury yields continue to hit new highs, hawkish US Fed expectations drag aluminum prices down [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
4 hours ago
US Treasury yields continue to hit new highs, hawkish US Fed expectations drag aluminum prices down [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
Read More
US Treasury yields continue to hit new highs, hawkish US Fed expectations drag aluminum prices down [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
US Treasury yields continue to hit new highs, hawkish US Fed expectations drag aluminum prices down [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
[US Treasury yields continue to hit new highs as hawkish Fed expectations weigh on aluminum price rise] Overall, with China's continued destocking in fundamentals combined with recovering demand in the peak season, there is still strong support below, and aluminum prices are expected to continue to consolidate at highs.
4 hours ago