Macro Roundup (Feb 23)

Published: Feb 23, 2023 09:30
The dollar stood near a seven-week high against the euro and the Aussie on Thursday, as expectations the Federal Reserve is likely to stay on its aggressive rate-hike path, reinforced by minutes from its last policy meeting, set the tone for markets.

SHANGHAI, Feb 23 —This is a roundup of global macroeconomic news last night and what is expected today.

The dollar stood near a seven-week high against the euro and the Aussie on Thursday, as expectations the Federal Reserve is likely to stay on its aggressive rate-hike path, reinforced by minutes from its last policy meeting, set the tone for markets.

Nearly all Fed policymakers favored a scale down in the pace of interest rate hikes at the U.S. central bank’s last policy meeting, minutes from the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 FOMC meeting showed on Wednesday.

However, they also indicated curbing unacceptably high inflation would be the “key factor” in how much further rates need to rise.

The dollar paused its ascent on Thursday after gaining broadly on the back of the release.

Stock futures ticked higher Wednesday evening.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 41 points or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 0.6%.

Nasdaq futures got a boost from Nvidia, which rose more than 8% after hours on better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings and revenue.

In regular trading, the Dow lost 84.50 points, or 0.26%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.16%. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.13%.

The moves came after the Federal Reserve released the minutes of its most recent meeting, which concluded Feb. 1, showing that members of the central bank are resolved to keep fighting inflation with rate hikes.

Oil prices fell by $2 per barrel to their lowest in two weeks on Wednesday, as investors became more concerned that recent economic data will mean more aggressive interest rate increases by central banks, pressuring economic growth and fuel demand.

Brent crude futures settled $2.45, or 3%, lower at $80.60 per barrel. The West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) dropped $2.41, or 3%, to end at $74.05 a barrel.

The settlement levels were the lowest for both benchmarks since Feb. 3.

Gold prices fell on Wednesday as the dollar rose after minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting showed policymakers backed more interest rate hikes to tame inflation.

Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,825.60 per ounce. U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% lower at $1,841.50 per ounce.

European markets were lower on Wednesday, as investors gauge the global economic outlook and await the minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed 0.3% lower, with most sectors recording declines. Mining stocks dropped 2.1% and banks fell 1.6%, while media stocks gained 1.4%.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Sibanye Secures 835MW Renewable Energy Portfolio to Support South African Operations
11 hours ago
Sibanye Secures 835MW Renewable Energy Portfolio to Support South African Operations
Read More
Sibanye Secures 835MW Renewable Energy Portfolio to Support South African Operations
Sibanye Secures 835MW Renewable Energy Portfolio to Support South African Operations
[SMM Flash] Sibanye-Stillwater has secured 835MW of renewable electricity capacity through agreements with independent power producers as it continues to increase renewable energy supply to its South African mining operations. The portfolio comprises 43% solar and 57% wind capacity, with 164MW already in commercial operation and a further 671MW agreed and under construction. The portfolio includes the operational 89MW Castle wind farm and 75MW Springbok solar project, while the 103MW Witberg and 140MW Umsinde wind farms are expected to come online around Q4 2026. Additional capacity includes 220MW from the Etana Energy portfolio, 138MW from the NOA portfolio and 70MW through Africa GreenCo, with these projects scheduled for 2027–28. The investment highlights the growing role of renewable power in reducing the mining sector's exposure to grid constraints and conventional electricity supply. Sibanye noted that renewables are expected to provide more than half of South Africa's energy needs by 2028. The company's 835MW portfolio is comparable to the capacity of a large conventional power-generation unit, while being developed through a diversified pipeline of solar and wind projects.
11 hours ago
Sibanye’s Recycling Operations Lift PGM Volumes and Generate US$164m in Cash Flow
11 hours ago
Sibanye’s Recycling Operations Lift PGM Volumes and Generate US$164m in Cash Flow
Read More
Sibanye’s Recycling Operations Lift PGM Volumes and Generate US$164m in Cash Flow
Sibanye’s Recycling Operations Lift PGM Volumes and Generate US$164m in Cash Flow
[SMM Flash] Sibanye-Stillwater’s recycling operations delivered strong earnings and cash generation in the first half of 2026, supported by higher recycled volumes and an expanded regional supply chain. The business recycled and sold 2.8 million oz of precious metals, up 142% year on year, including 195,000 oz of 5E PGMs, 95,000 oz of gold and 2.5 million oz of silver. Adjusted EBITDA reached US$103 million (R1.7 billion), up 11% year on year and 536% excluding the Section 45X tax credit recorded in the prior-year period. Notional free cash flow stood at US$164 million (R2.7 billion), with a 63% adjusted EBITDA conversion rate. Feed volumes also increased significantly, with the Pennsylvania site's volumes more than doubling to 2.2 million oz while the North Carolina acquisition contributed a further 0.5 million oz. The results highlight the growing contribution of recycling as a source of secondary PGM supply, while providing Sibanye with a capital-light earnings stream. The company's US recycling platform processed material containing platinum, palladium, iridium and ruthenium alongside gold, silver and copper, strengthening its exposure to diversified precious-metal flows.
11 hours ago
Sibanye’s SA PGM Operations Generate Strong Cash as Higher Prices Lift Margins
11 hours ago
Sibanye’s SA PGM Operations Generate Strong Cash as Higher Prices Lift Margins
Read More
Sibanye’s SA PGM Operations Generate Strong Cash as Higher Prices Lift Margins
Sibanye’s SA PGM Operations Generate Strong Cash as Higher Prices Lift Margins
[SMM Flash] Sibanye-Stillwater’s South African PGM operations generated strong earnings and cash flow in the first half of 2026, supported by higher PGM prices, consistent production and continued cost discipline. The operations produced 790,000 oz of 4E PGMs, down 2% year on year but in line with guidance. Adjusted EBITDA increased 302% year on year to R19.2 billion, while the adjusted EBITDA margin reached 45%. The operations also generated R10.4 billion in notional free cash flow, representing a significant improvement from the same period last year. The AISC margin reached 44%, although all-in sustaining costs increased 10% year on year to R26,252/4E oz (US$1,600/4E oz), partly reflecting approximately R1 billion in higher royalties. Sibanye said brownfield investment is also strengthening its future production base. R2.6 billion was invested during H1 2026, with the K4 project expected to increase 4E PGM production by 24%. The company is also advancing several mine-life extension projects that leverage existing infrastructure and support mechanisation.
11 hours ago
Macro Roundup (Feb 23) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)