Coke Prices Still Enjoy Cost Support

Published: Jan 17, 2023 16:56
Source: SMM
It is expected that the coke prices may remain largely stable in the short term.

SHANGHAI, Jan 17 (SMM) - Coking coal market: With the Chinese New Year holiday around the corner, downstream demand declined, and market transactions were lower than expected. However, as some coal mines already took holidays, the supply of coking coal was also tight, hence the supply and demand were both weak in the market. The quotes of coking coal stabilised with limited inventory at coal mines.

Coke market: On the supply side, coking enterprises were not enthusiastic about production on narrowed profit margins, and some loss-making coking enterprises slightly reduced their production. Therefore, the average operating rate of coking enterprises continued to fall. On the demand side, the profits of steel mills were restored slightly, and their coke inventories were lower compared with previous years. This, coupled with the disrupted transportation amid snow and rain, prompted some steel mills to be less tough in bargaining down coke prices. 

On the whole, the downstream demand for still exists, and the profits of steel mills have partially restored. The limited decline in coking coal price suggests that the cost support for coke prices still remains. It is expected that the coke prices may remain largely stable in the short term.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Focus on Pre-Holiday Restocking Next Week
7 hours ago
[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Focus on Pre-Holiday Restocking Next Week
Read More
[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Focus on Pre-Holiday Restocking Next Week
[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Focus on Pre-Holiday Restocking Next Week
With no futures guidance today, spot prices mostly remained stable. In terms of supply, new maintenance for hot rolling was limited, and overall production continued to increase. Rolling line maintenance next week is expected to decline WoW, leaving hot coil supply pressure relatively loose. On the demand side, with no futures trading today, the spot market was relatively stable, with no significant purchasing demand released, and pre-holiday restocking remained sluggish. From the raw material side, pre-holiday restocking is nearing its end, and short-term hot metal rigid demand remains resilient. The probability of raw material prices breaking downward before the holiday is relatively small, but there may be negative feedback risks after the holiday. Looking ahead, after the September 17 thermal coal supply guarantee news was released, the specific implementation still needs to be observed after November. Next week's market focus will be on the release of pre-holiday restocking demand both domestically and internationally. In summary, the most-traded hot coil contract may have some room for a rebound next week.
7 hours ago
[Domestic Iron Ore Concentrates Briefing] China's iron ore concentrates prices are likely to consolidate on a subdued note
7 hours ago
[Domestic Iron Ore Concentrates Briefing] China's iron ore concentrates prices are likely to consolidate on a subdued note
Read More
[Domestic Iron Ore Concentrates Briefing] China's iron ore concentrates prices are likely to consolidate on a subdued note
[Domestic Iron Ore Concentrates Briefing] China's iron ore concentrates prices are likely to consolidate on a subdued note
Domestic ore prices diverged this week; iron ore concentrate prices in Hebei fell by 10-20 yuan/mt, while prices in Liaoning remained relatively stable. Overall, iron ore concentrate resources were relatively tight, providing some support to local prices. On the demand side, steel mills saw deepening losses and mainly purchased iron ore concentrates as needed, with a relatively strong desire to bargain down prices.
7 hours ago
[SMM Coking Coal and Coke Daily Briefing] 20260920
7 hours ago
[SMM Coking Coal and Coke Daily Briefing] 20260920
Read More
[SMM Coking Coal and Coke Daily Briefing] 20260920
[SMM Coking Coal and Coke Daily Briefing] 20260920
7 hours ago