Guangxi Encourages Aluminium Smelters to Resume the Production through Financial Subsidy

Published: Nov 21, 2022 10:23
Source: SMM
SHANGHAI, Nov 21 (SMM) - Recently, Guangxi province has outlined measures to promote the growth in some key industries, involving the aluminium industry.

SHANGHAI, Nov 21 (SMM) - Recently, Guangxi province has outlined measures to promote the growth in some key industries, involving the aluminium industry. In order to encourage aluminium smelters to accelerate their potline restarts and boost their capacity utilisation rates, smelters whose potlines were shut down this year due to the pandemic or energy-saving technological transformation are eligible for subsidies as long as they restart their potlines and achieve an increase in their capacity utilisation rates as required in the fourth quarter. A subsidy of 2 million yuan will be granted to smelters whose capacity utilisation rate increases 15-20 percentage points quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) at the end of the fourth quarter, 3 million yuan for an increase of 20-30 percentage points, and 5 million yuan for an increase of more than 30 percentage points. Guangxi will also support aluminium smelters to carry out energy-saving transformation through new process, new technology and green low-carbon technology, and these projects shall be included in the government-funded enterprise technical transformation programme. After the introduction of the incentive plan, the production resumptions of local aluminium smelters have accelerated.

Since 2021, aluminium smelters in Guangxi have been runing at low capacity. Some smelters were shut down for technical transformation, while the commissioning of new capacity was slow. In February 2022, Guangxi Baikuang Aluminium’s Tianyang branch experienced an emergency shutdown due to the sudden outbreak of COVID-19 again, sending the operating aluminium capacity in the province to below 1.63 million mt. In the second half of 2022, aluminium prices pulled back from highs, putting smelters in Guangxi under mounting cost pressure as they relied heavily on thermal power, which is more expensive than hydropower. Hence, the production resumptions of smelters slowed down. As of the end of October, the compliant installed aluminium capacity in Guangxi stood at 2.79 million mt, accounting for 6% of the total capacity in China, while the operating capacity stood at 2.12 million mt, leaving 665,000 mt of idled capacity waiting to be resumed. From January to October, the aluminium output in Guangxi fell 15% YoY to 1.59 million mt, accounting for just 4.8% of China’s total output. If aluminium capacity is resumed as scheduled, the operating aluminium capacity in Guangxi is estimated to return to around 2.75 million mt by the end of March next year.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Alunorte Secures Gas Deal, Resumes Full Alumina Production After Disruption
18 mins ago
Alunorte Secures Gas Deal, Resumes Full Alumina Production After Disruption
Read More
Alunorte Secures Gas Deal, Resumes Full Alumina Production After Disruption
Alunorte Secures Gas Deal, Resumes Full Alumina Production After Disruption
Following Brazil’s ANP approval for Alunorte to act as its own gas importer, the refinery secured a temporary terminal-access deal with supplier CELBA, resolving earlier disruptions that had forced a contingency output cut. With this agreement, Alunorte is now ramping alumina production back to full capacity. The stoppage resulted in an estimated lost output of 100,000–120,000 tonnes, and the combined effects of reduced production and above‑contract gas procurement could weigh on Q3 2026 Bauxite & Alumina earnings by USD 75–100 million, even as the company works toward a permanent supply solution.
18 mins ago
Concerns over Liquidity Tightening Ease Marginally, Aluminum Prices Are Under Pressure at High Levels in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
26 mins ago
Concerns over Liquidity Tightening Ease Marginally, Aluminum Prices Are Under Pressure at High Levels in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
Read More
Concerns over Liquidity Tightening Ease Marginally, Aluminum Prices Are Under Pressure at High Levels in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
Concerns over Liquidity Tightening Ease Marginally, Aluminum Prices Are Under Pressure at High Levels in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
[Liquidity Tightening Concerns Ease Marginally, Aluminum Prices Stay Under Pressure at Highs in Near Term] Overall, on the macro front, US PPI and core PPI for July both declined YoY, coming in below both expectations and previous readings. Inflationary pressure eased further, and market expectations for a US Fed rate hike in September were scaled back, marginally easing concerns over liquidity tightening. On the fundamentals front, aluminum ingot inventories continued to destock, but destocking was expected to slow down in the second half of the month. The pace of production resumptions at Middle Eastern aluminum smelters was faster than the market had previously expected, and the supply-tightness premium priced in earlier faced pressure to unwind. Although macro recovery and continued destocking in the first half of August supported stronger aluminum prices, market sentiment shifted, and aluminum prices are expected to remain under pressure at high levels in the near term, with upside room likely to be capped to some extent by production resumption expectations.
26 mins ago
[How 2 million tonnes of Gulf aluminium became a flashpoint for US supply security]
30 mins ago
[How 2 million tonnes of Gulf aluminium became a flashpoint for US supply security]
Read More
[How 2 million tonnes of Gulf aluminium became a flashpoint for US supply security]
[How 2 million tonnes of Gulf aluminium became a flashpoint for US supply security]
Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, a route carrying roughly 5.14 million tonnes of primary aluminium annually, about 75% of the region's total production, have damaged major Gulf smelters including EGA's Al Taweelah near Abu Dhabi (alumina output nearly halved to 602,000 tonnes in H1 2026) and Aluminium Bahrain, pushing global prices from around $2,500 to nearly $4,000 per tonne over the past year; the disruption lands at a precarious moment for the US, which has lost much of its domestic smelting capacity to rising energy costs, including the demolition of the last Intalco smelter and halted production at Hawesville, while demand holds near 12 million tonnes a year and Gulf shipments, averaging about 2 million tonnes annually, expose Washington's reliance on external suppliers for a metal now central to a Trump administration national security push covering 12 critical metals, even as a US-Gulf plan to revive domestic alumina production has stalled amid the same high energy costs that hollowed out earlier capacity.
30 mins ago