SMM Evening Comments (Nov 1): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed Mostly with Gains amid Easing Bearish Sentiment

Published: Nov 1, 2022 18:00
Shanghai nonferrous metals closed mostly with gains as the bearish sentiment aggravated in the early stage was digested.

SHANGHAI, Nov 1 (SMM) – Shanghai nonferrous metals closed mostly with gains as the bearish sentiment aggravated in the early stage was digested.

Shanghai copper added 1.57%, aluminium gained 0.56%, lead fell 0.36%, zinc shed 1.63%, tin rose 0.43%, and nickel climbed 3.94%.

Copper: The most-traded SHFE 2212 copper closed up 1.57% or 980 yuan/mt at 63,350 yuan/mt, with open interest down 1,141 lots to 189,728 lots.

In the spot market, SHFE 2211 and 2212 spread narrowed slightly, but the downstream players were still on the sidelines. Premiums of standard-quality copper stood at 220-240 yuan/mt in early trade, with few successful transactions. The premiums then fell quickly to 200 yuan/mt, and market inquiries picked up but the transactions were still poor. The premiums dropped further to 170-200 yuan/mt in the first trading session, which were almost flat to that of good-quality copper. Some standard-quality copper was sold at premiums of 170-180 yuan/mt. The premiums moved all the way down to 150-170 yuan/mt in the second trading session, and the purchases finally picked up.

Aluminium: The most-traded SHFE 2212 aluminium closed up 0.56% or 100 yuan/mt to 17,905 yuan/mt, with open interest down 15,992 lots to 176,411 lots.

From the perspective of the supply side, the production of domestic aluminium smelters is stable on the whole. Aluminium ingot social inventory fell by 8,000 mt from last Thursday to 613,000 mt yesterday due to fewer arrivals. Demand was weak under the influence of pandemic. The overseas liquidity has tightened. SHFE aluminium is vulnerable to decline amid strong pessimism.

Lead: The most-traded SHFE 2212 lead closed down 0.36% or 55 yuan/mt at 15,160 yuan/mt, with open interest down 3,681 lots to 58,765 lots.

On the fundamentals, the primary and secondary lead smelters resumed the production from maintenance, and lead ingot supply rose, while the consumption side was lacklustre, resulting in inventory accumulation. LME lead lost its momentum, so was SHFE lead, which is expected to hover around 15,100 yuan/mt in the near term.

Zinc: The most-traded SHFE 2212 zinc closed down 1.63% or 375 yuan/mt at 22,700 yuan/mt, with open interest down 6,921 lots to 117,954 lots.

SHFE base metals rebounded with the digestion of bearish sentiment after the prices bottomed. SHFE zinc rebounded after hitting low, but still recorded a losing session today.

Tin: The most-traded SHFE 2212 tin closed up 0.43% or 680 yuan/mt at 159,170 yuan/mt, with open interest down 1,161 lots to 42,750 lots.

In the spot market, quotes from the smelters were stable in early trade, and only several smelters raised their offers. The number of quotes from the traders increased palpably, and the supply of different brands was relatively sufficient. But the shipments in the spot market remained poor, capping the spot premiums. Downstream companies boycotted the price hike, and some stood wait-and-see after purchasing on dips earlier.

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE 2212 nickel closed up 3.94% or 7,170 yuan/mt at 189,200 yuan/mt, with open interest up 15,962 lots to 86,352 lots.

In the spot market, Jinchuan nickel was in premiums of 8,000-8,500 yuan/mt today, with an average of 8,250 yuan/mt, up 2,100 yuan/mt from a day ago. NORNICKEL nickel was in premiums of 4,000-4,500 yuan/mt, with an average of 4,250 yuan/mt, up 2,900 yuan/mt on a daily basis. Today, the sellers started to quote against SHFE 2212, the SHFE nickel rose under impacts on the news front, and spot transactions were poor on rising prices. For nickel briquette, the prices stood between 190,500-191,700 yuan/mt, up 8,100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

[Disclaimer: The above representation and data is based on market information SMM believes to be reliable at the time of acquiring as well as the comprehensive assessment by SMM research team, and any and all information provided in this article is for reference only. This article does not constitute a direct recommendation for investment or any decisions in any form and clients shall act on their own discreet and any decisions made by clients are not within the responsibility of SMM.]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
17 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
17 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
17 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
17 hours ago
SMM Evening Comments (Nov 1): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed Mostly with Gains amid Easing Bearish Sentiment - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)