Nickel Prices Continued to Rise, and the PMI Index was Optimistic

Published: Sep 29, 2022 17:28
Source: SMM
The finalised composite PMI for the alloy sector stood at 50.02% in September, staying in the expansion range.

SHANGHAI, Sep 29 (SMM) - The finalised composite PMI for the alloy sector stood at 50.02% in September, staying in the expansion range. Among them, the production index was 50.30, the purchase index was 50.26, the new order index was 50.30, and the supplier delivery time index was 50. Due to the Fed’s interest rate meeting in September, nickel prices were seriously affected by the macro front and fell after rising. Affected by the high nickel prices in the early September, the alloy industry was worried about further price increase. However, since the result of interest rate hike meeting was in line with expectations, nickel prices fell again, and spot transactions also picked up. According to the SMM research, at present, the demand for pure nickel did not change significantly in September as enterprises mainly purchased as needed, and only a few orders for civil use decreased.

The initial reading of composite PMI for the alloy sector in October was 50.05. Affected by the rising SHFE nickel prices, nickel briquette prices are higher than nickel sulphate, hence the demand for nickel briquette from nickel sulphate sector is unlikely to pick up. In this scenario, the pure nickel inventory will not decline significantly. The current prices of pure nickel were still high, but the current fundamentals may not able to provide sufficient support for the high nickel prices. Therefore, the raw material procurement and order situation may improve slightly in September.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
20 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
20 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
20 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
20 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
20 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
20 hours ago
Nickel Prices Continued to Rise, and the PMI Index was Optimistic - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)