SMM Evening Comments (Aug 2): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed All with Losses amid Escalated Geopolitical Tensions

Published: Aug 2, 2022 18:00
Shanghai nonferrous metals closed all with losses as the geopolitical tensions intensified in Asia with the rumoured visit to Taiwan province of Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives.

SHANGHAI, Aug 2 (SMM) – Shanghai nonferrous metals closed all with losses as the geopolitical tensions intensified in Asia with the rumoured visit to Taiwan province of Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives.

Shanghai copper slid 0.72%, aluminium fell 1.79%, lead lost 0.16%, zinc dropped 0.93%, tin shed 2.54%, and nickel declined 0.99%.

Copper: The most-traded SHFE 2209 copper closed down 0.72% or 440 yuan/mt at 60,250 yuan/mt, with open interest down 4,513 lots to 155,093 lots.

On the macro front, ISM national factory activity index fell to 52.8 in July, the lowest since June 2020. The dollar index slipped for a fourth straight day, closing down 0.4% on Monday.

In the spot market, the premium slumped as a whole with the inflow of imports and the traders selling off. Standard-quality copper was quoted with premiums of 270 yuan/mt in morning trade, while pulled back to 250 yuan/mt with few purchases. The premiums dropped further to 220 yuan/mt amid the traders selling off, and the market transactions picked up slightly, before the premiums rallied to 240 yuan/mt. The spread between good and standard-quality copper stood at around 20 yuan/mt.  

Aluminium: The most-traded SHFE 2209 aluminium closed down 1.79% or 330 yuan/mt to 18,070 yuan/mt, with open interest down 6,455 lots to 168,520 lots.

On the supply side, the pressure still exists amid restoring profits. But the consumption side remained low, and the downstream purchased mainly on dips.

Lead: The most-traded SHFE 2209 lead closed down 0.16% or 25 yuan/mt at 15,210 yuan/mt, with open interest up 4,458 lots to 58,758 lots.

On the fundamentals, the supply picked up as the smelters resumed the production. On the other hand, the lead-acid battery factories maintained stable production. Currently, the lead ingot social inventory has been falling, but there is possibility of accumulation after intensive delivery triggered by rising lead prices.

Zinc: The most-traded SHFE 2209 zinc closed down 0.93% or 225 yuan/mt at 23,915 yuan/mt, with open interest up 865 lots to 117,988 lots.

The overall market sentiment was relatively weak amid less-than-expected economic readings in China and abroad. The contract rebounded shortly after the bearish factors like US rate hike priced in, but dropped again amid recession worries.

Tin: The most-traded SHFE 2209 tin closed down 2.54% or 5,070 yuan/mt at 194,540 yuan/mt, with open interest down 8,413 lots to 54,636 lots.

In the spot market, smelters were slightly less willing to sell in morning trade, and the quotes dropped along with the futures prices. The number of quotes from the traders was stable amid amble supplies. The downstream, on the other hand, purchased mainly on rigid demand. SHFE warrants rose 195 mt to 3,656 mt, and LME tin inventory added 130 mt to 3,985 mt.

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE 2209 nickel closed down 0.99% or 1,770 yuan/mt at 177,460 yuan/mt, with open interest down 15,692 lots to 81,252 lots.

The pure nickel supply remained tight as a whole, but was supplemented to some extent. Meanwhile, Indonesia NPI kept flowing back to China, resulting in a supply surplus. On the demand side, the downstream was still less cheering, and the stainless steel sector remained poor.

[Disclaimer: The above representation and data is based on market information SMM believes to be reliable at the time of acquiring as well as the comprehensive assessment by SMM research team, and any and all information provided in this article is for reference only. This article does not constitute a direct recommendation for investment or any decisions in any form and clients shall act on their own discreet and any decisions made by clients are not within the responsibility of SMM.]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Cobre Panama copper mine is deemed generally compliant and is expected to resume production.
5 hours ago
Cobre Panama copper mine is deemed generally compliant and is expected to resume production.
Read More
Cobre Panama copper mine is deemed generally compliant and is expected to resume production.
Cobre Panama copper mine is deemed generally compliant and is expected to resume production.
Breaking News | SGS Audit Shows Cobre Panama Mine Compliance Rate Near 88%, Obstacles to Production Resumption Further Cleared On June 19, Panama's Ministry of Environment released the final audit report by Switzerland's SGS on First Quantum's Cobre Panama copper mine. The audit covered 370 commitments from 2019 to 2023, with an overall compliance rate of approximately 88%. Technical and operational standards scored the highest (90.20%), followed by environmental compliance. SGS pointed out that issues were concentrated in areas such as biodiversity management, and do not constitute structural deficiencies. According to SMM, maintenance of key equipment at the mine is proceeding normally. If the production resumption permit is granted, production is expected to resume at a relatively fast pace. The mine has been suspended since November 2023, with an annual capacity of approximately 350,000 mt of copper. The Panamanian government has established a cross-departmental working group to evaluate subsequent decisions.
5 hours ago
Copper Scrap Market Shows Regional Divergence Amid Price Fluctuations and Compliance Inspections
23 hours ago
Copper Scrap Market Shows Regional Divergence Amid Price Fluctuations and Compliance Inspections
Read More
Copper Scrap Market Shows Regional Divergence Amid Price Fluctuations and Compliance Inspections
Copper Scrap Market Shows Regional Divergence Amid Price Fluctuations and Compliance Inspections
This week, the copper scrap market operated under the interweaving influences of fluctuating copper prices, the approaching Dragon Boat Festival holiday, and ongoing compliance inspections on "reverse invoicing," presenting structural characteristics of "regional divergence in supply, essential demand-driven procurement, and transactions driven by invoices rather than prices
23 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] LME Copper Prices Fluctuate at Highs; Procurement Slows Across China, Japan, and South Korea
Jun 19, 2026 16:37
[SMM Analysis] LME Copper Prices Fluctuate at Highs; Procurement Slows Across China, Japan, and South Korea
Read More
[SMM Analysis] LME Copper Prices Fluctuate at Highs; Procurement Slows Across China, Japan, and South Korea
[SMM Analysis] LME Copper Prices Fluctuate at Highs; Procurement Slows Across China, Japan, and South Korea
[SMM Analysis: LME Copper Prices Fluctuate at Highs; Procurement Slows Across China, Japan, and South Korea Amid Flat Market Turnover]This week, LME copper prices fluctuated at high levels. Quotations for bare bright copper held high at 98.5%–99% payability. In contrast, offers for No. 2 ccopper material scrap(Birch/Cliff) showed distinct divergence. However the global recycled raw material market currently exhibits a gridlock defined by "weak supply and demand."
Jun 19, 2026 16:37