Chairman of the International Cobalt Association Says Cobalt Prices Will Remain High amid Steadily Growing Demand, But Expects Prices to Fall in the Medium Term due to Changing Supply-Demand Dynamics

Published: Jul 15, 2022 14:24
Source: SMM
SHANGHAI, Jul 15 (SMM) - Cobalt supply from mines rose in 2021, especially driven by supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo.

SHANGHAI, Jul 15 (SMM) - Cobalt supply from mines rose in 2021, especially driven by supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo. Therefore, supply may be the biggest challenge to the sustainable development of the cobalt industry, and the supply in Congo still has room for growth.

Demand for cobalt will continue to grow and is expected to exceed 300,000 mt by 2026. The price of cobalt had been on the rise from 2021 to 2022, but has fallen recently, and is expected to remain high in the future. Its prices will be mainly supported by rising demand and limited supply.

In the medium term, as supply grows, changes in supply-demand dynamics could cause its prices to fall.

Taken together, the outlook for cobalt remains strong. Considering that most of the demand for cobalt comes from the electric vehicle industry, cobalt still plays an important role in the battery value chain. In the medium and long term, more capital will be invested in the mining of cobalt. Supply chain restrictions will still exist for cobalt. As raw materials are shipped out of Africa and go to China, the cobalt price will remain high. The pace of global investment will accelerate to meet the demand gap.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Cobalt Product Quotes in the Doldrums, Refined Cobalt Dropped Over 20,000 Yuan in a Single Week, Cobalt Sulphate Extends Losing Streak to Five Days [Weekly Observation]
6 hours ago
Cobalt Product Quotes in the Doldrums, Refined Cobalt Dropped Over 20,000 Yuan in a Single Week, Cobalt Sulphate Extends Losing Streak to Five Days [Weekly Observation]
Read More
Cobalt Product Quotes in the Doldrums, Refined Cobalt Dropped Over 20,000 Yuan in a Single Week, Cobalt Sulphate Extends Losing Streak to Five Days [Weekly Observation]
Cobalt Product Quotes in the Doldrums, Refined Cobalt Dropped Over 20,000 Yuan in a Single Week, Cobalt Sulphate Extends Losing Streak to Five Days [Weekly Observation]
6 hours ago
H1 Battery Materials Import and Export Data Released, Lithium Carbonate Imports Surge over 50%, How About Other Segments? [SMM Special]
19 hours ago
H1 Battery Materials Import and Export Data Released, Lithium Carbonate Imports Surge over 50%, How About Other Segments? [SMM Special]
Read More
H1 Battery Materials Import and Export Data Released, Lithium Carbonate Imports Surge over 50%, How About Other Segments? [SMM Special]
H1 Battery Materials Import and Export Data Released, Lithium Carbonate Imports Surge over 50%, How About Other Segments? [SMM Special]
19 hours ago
SMM Daily Review: Spot lithium carbonate price drifts lower on July 24
20 hours ago
SMM Daily Review: Spot lithium carbonate price drifts lower on July 24
Read More
SMM Daily Review: Spot lithium carbonate price drifts lower on July 24
SMM Daily Review: Spot lithium carbonate price drifts lower on July 24
[SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Prices Drifted Lower on July 24] SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate spot prices drifted lower compared with the previous working day. In the futures market, the lithium carbonate 2609 contract opened lower at 144,200 yuan/mt today, drifted lower after opening, moved sideways below the average price line (143,800 yuan/mt) in the morning, and hit a low of 141,300 yuan/mt; around midday, bulls and bears repeatedly struggled in the 141,000–144,000 yuan/mt range, with trading volume increasing in stages; in the afternoon, bulls briefly exerted strength, pushing the price to surge to 145,800 yuan/mt, before it encountered bearish selling pressure and drifted lower. The contract then consolidated at lows around 144,300 yuan/mt in the late session, finally closing down 0.88% at 144,300 yuan/mt. Open interest decreased by 13,209 lots. In the spot market, downstream purchase willingness moderated, with purchasing mainly as needed; upstream lithium chemical plants continued to hold prices firm and hold back from selling for spot orders, trading more with downstream through long-term contracts. Overall, market inquiries and actual transactions relatively slowed down.
20 hours ago
Chairman of the International Cobalt Association Says Cobalt Prices Will Remain High amid Steadily Growing Demand, But Expects Prices to Fall in the Medium Term due to Changing Supply-Demand Dynamics - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)