Demand May Drive Upward Movement of Spodumene Prices in the Future

[SMM Cobalt & Lithium Morning Call: Raw Material Prices Diverge, Industry Demand Maintains Structural Support] This week, industry chain prices showed divergence. Lithium ore, lithium chemicals, nickel chemicals and cobalt products were overall under pressure. Downstream procurement remained focused on long-term contract cargo pick-ups and essential restocking, and the market still held expectations of increasing supply and price declines in the long term. Cathode material side, ternary system prices pulled back along with raw material costs, while LFP and iron phosphate strengthened slightly, supported by order growth and cost support. Anode and separator markets held stable overall, and electrolyte moved up, driven by rising additive and solvent prices. Demand from energy storage, commercial vehicles and markets outside China maintained good performance, supporting continued growth in the industry's production schedules, but recovery on the consumption side remained relatively slow.

At the beginning of this week, the overall industry chain was relatively weak, with the price center of electrolytic metals, intermediates, and salts continuing to decline. During the traditional off-season, downstream purchasing was mainly small-scale, just-in-need buying. Cost support from virgin materials remained, but recycled materials, low-priced older stocks, and re-dissolution routes persistently depressed market psychological price levels, intensifying price negotiation divergences between upstream and downstream. The ternary cathode precursor and ternary cathode material markets weakened simultaneously due to falling raw material prices. August orders showed steady growth, but consumer-side demand had yet to recover significantly. The supply-demand balance for LCO remained weak, and short-term prices were expected to remain stable.