LME Aluminium Recorded A New High since 2008

Published: Feb 9, 2022 13:21
LME aluminium futures hit a new high since 2008 amid investors’ concerns over tight supply and falling inventory.

SHANGHAI, Feb 9 - LME aluminium futures hit a new high since 2008 amid investors’ concerns over tight supply and falling inventory.

As of 17:00 on 8 February London time (01:00 on 9 February Beijing time), LME three-month copper closed US$3.5/mt, or 0.04%, higher at US$9,781/mt. LME three-month aluminium rose 1.6% to US$3,183/mt.

The prices of lightweight metal, used for packaging and transport, has increased by around 14% since the beginning of this year after a 42% increase in 2021 as China restricted the production to reduce pollution. China offers more than half of the global supply of aluminium.

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic in the China aluminium producing city - Baise in Guangxi - has fuelled supply concerns.

Marubeni Corp said on Tuesday that aluminium stocks at Japan's three main ports rose 10.39% YoY to 296,500 mt at the end of December 2021, compared with 268,600 mt at the end of November.

Aluminium stocks in LME registered warehouses have fallen to 767,700 mt, the lowest level since 2007, from nearly 2 million mt in March last year.

Concerns over LME supply quickly raised the premiums of spot aluminium over three-month aluminium futures to US$40/mt, the highest level since July 2018.

Russia is an important aluminium producer. The threat of sanctions against Russia if it attacks Ukraine has aggravated the supply concerns. Slovak aluminium smelter Slovalco said on Monday it had cut the production to about 60% of capacity due to high-cost electricity and emissions subsidies and a lack of government compensation.

Mining activity at the Las Bambas copper mine in Peru has begun to decline significantly, according to electricity consumption data and information from a corporate source, after protesters blocked a major road at the end of last month. The copper mine accommodates 2% of global supply.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
7 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
7 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
7 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
7 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
7 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
7 hours ago