Macro Roundup (Jan 14)

Published: Jan 14, 2022 09:18 (GMT+8)
The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Thursday to a two-month low, a day after data that showed an expected surge in U.S. consumer prices in December fell short of offering any new impetus for the Federal Reserve’s policy normalization efforts.

SHANGHAI, Jan 14 (SMM) — This is a roundup of global macroeconomic news last night and what is expected today.

The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Thursday to a two-month low, a day after data that showed an expected surge in U.S. consumer prices in December fell short of offering any new impetus for the Federal Reserve’s policy normalization efforts.

The U.S. Dollar Currency Index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, was down 0.2% at 94.791, its lowest since Nov. 10. The index, which rose 6.3% in 2021, is down about 1% for the week, on pace for its worst weekly performance in about eight months.

December’s monthly U.S. consumer inflation figures, published on Wednesday, were a fraction higher than forecast and the increase in year-on-year consumer prices was, as expected, 7% - its biggest jump since June 1982.

Nevertheless, traders do not see these inflation readings as urgently shifting an already hawkish Fed too much. With at least three interest rate hikes already in the market price, some investors pared bets on further dollar gains.

U.S. stock index were little changed during overnight trading on Thursday, ahead of earnings from the major banks on Friday.

Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 29 points. S&P 500 futures were up 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.12%.

All of the major averages slid during regular trading on Thursday. The Dow and S&P 500 fell 0.48% and 1.42%, respectively, registering the first down day in three. At one point the 30-stock benchmark had been up more than 200 points.

The Nasdaq Composite was the relative underperformer, shedding 2.51% and snapping a three-day winning streak as technology stocks came under pressure. Microsoft declined more than 4%, while Nvidia dipped 5%. Apple, Amazon, Meta, Netflix and Alphabet also closed lower.

Investors have rotated out of growth and into value stocks amid rising rate fears, which makes future profits — including from growth companies — look less attractive.

Oil prices edged lower on Thursday as investors took profits after two days of gains amid fears of aggressive U.S. interest rate hikes, but the losses were cushioned by expectations that a strong economic recovery will boost demand.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled 52 cents, or 0.63%, lower at $82.12 per barrel, after rising 5.6% over the last 2 days.

Brent crude futures settled 0.24% lower at $84.47 per barrel. It had gained 4.7% over Tuesday and Wednesday.

Gold prices retreated on Thursday, as U.S. Treasury yields edged up with the Federal Reserve likely to raise interest rates in March.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,820.71 per ounce by 14:17 ET (1917 GMT). U.S. gold futures settled down 0.3% at $1,821.40.

Expectations around a Fed interest rate hike lifted U.S. Treasury yields higher, potentially increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 hovered around the flatline during afternoon deals but closed lower by 0.2%. Household goods dropped 1.2% while autos gained 1.6%.

In terms of individual share price movement, Netherlands-based BE Semiconductor climbed 9% to lead the Stoxx 600.

At the bottom of the European blue chip index, Britain’s Countryside Properties plunged more than 21% after announcing that its CEO will step down with immediate effect, and revealing that first-quarter trading in the new financial year has been below the board’s expectations.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
5 mins ago
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Read More
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
Tanzania’s Imwelo selects processing route after gold recovery rises to 84.5%
[SMM Gold Flash] Lake Victoria Gold reported new metallurgical testwork for weathered ore at Area C of its fully permitted Imwelo Gold Project in Tanzania. Attrition scrubbing followed by desliming increased 24-hour gold extraction from 49.99% to 84.54% in agitated-leach testing. Bottle-roll recovery reached 88.15% after pretreatment, while gravity-recoverable gold also increased. The work was conducted by Nesch Mintech Tanzania in Mwanza. The company has identified attrition scrubbing and desliming as the preferred pretreatment route for further optimisation of the clay-rich near-surface material. Lake Victoria Gold says the results complement earlier work on deeper material, where recoveries of approximately 96–97% were reported. Importantly, the reported recoveries relate to tested pretreated fractions and do not yet represent overall whole-ore plant recovery; further mass-balance and optimisation work is planned.
5 mins ago
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
9 mins ago
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Read More
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
Aurum drilling delivers 155 g/t gold hit at Côte d’Ivoire’s Boundiali
[SMM Gold Flash] Aurum Resources reported new assay results from 22 diamond holes totalling 6,172.8 metres at the BST1 deposit at its Boundiali Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire. The results include 2.63 metres at 76.74 g/t gold from 195.2 metres, including 1.3 metres at 155 g/t, together with 24 metres at 6.31 g/t from 108 metres, including 7 metres at 19.25 g/t. Several intersections extend beyond the existing BST1 resource envelope. The results will feed into Aurum’s planned Boundiali Mineral Resource update targeted for early Q4 2026. The company says mineralisation remains open along strike and at depth, while drilling continues across the project. The results are therefore an exploration and resource-growth development rather than additional production. Boundiali currently has a 3.22-million-ounce JORC Mineral Resource, while Aurum is advancing a definitive feasibility study.
9 mins ago
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
15 mins ago
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Read More
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
Platinum Shows Stronger Inflation and Real-Rate Linkages Than Gold, Study Finds
[SMM Gold & PGM Flash] A new study published in the Journal of Commodity Markets finds that platinum has exhibited broader and more persistent co-movement with inflation and real interest rates than gold. Researchers Arusha Cooray and İbrahim Özmen examined monthly data from July 1999 through December 2024 across the US, Germany, Italy, France, Switzerland and the Netherlands, using turning-point analysis, wavelet coherence and time-varying Granger-causality methods. The study found gold’s macroeconomic relationships were comparatively weaker and more fragmented, while platinum and silver showed broader synchronization, particularly in the US and Germany.​ The researchers attribute platinum’s stronger macroeconomic sensitivity in part to its substantial industrial exposure, meaning its price reflects not only monetary conditions but also manufacturing activity, investment and supply constraints. The findings do not establish platinum as a universally superior inflation hedge: the relationships varied across countries, periods and monetary-policy regimes. Instead, the study highlights a fundamental difference between the metals, with gold’s broader monetary and defensive role producing a different response to inflation and real-rate conditions.
15 mins ago