[SMM Annual Summit] Battery Market Is Likely to See Long-Term Raw Material Shortage in 2022-2024, What Are the Causes?

Published: Nov 17, 2021 11:16
The new production capacity of lithium resources will be put into operation intensively after 2022-2023, and the production may be lower than expected. It is expected that there will still be a supply shortage of 24,000 mt LCE in 2022.

SHANGHAI, Nov 17 (SMM) - The new production capacity of lithium resources will be put into operation intensively after 2022-2023, and the production may be lower than expected. It is expected that there will still be a supply shortage of 24,000 mt LCE in 2022.

The upstream chemical industries such as VC and phosphoric acid is under great pressure of environmental impact assessment, and the review period of new projects is long. The supply is expected to remain tight.

The separator supply is expected to be short in 2022 due to the limited equipment capacity, while the capacity of lithium hexafluorophosphate will be put into production intensively in 2022 as the technical threshold is high and most capacities belongs to the leading enterprises.

The dual control of energy consumption has been implemented across the country in H2 2021. The enterprises with high energy consumption and pollution have suspended production, and the production of lithium battery materials has been restricted.

China is highly dependent on the overseas lithium and cobalt raw materials. The raw material supply will be more unstable in the future due to COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitics.

The limited resources, environmental protection restrictions, technical bottleneck, power rationing, and geographic politics will cause the shortage of battery raw materials.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Total Investment Of 12 Billion Yuan Lithium Battery Project Lands In Guangzhou
18 mins ago
Total Investment Of 12 Billion Yuan Lithium Battery Project Lands In Guangzhou
Read More
Total Investment Of 12 Billion Yuan Lithium Battery Project Lands In Guangzhou
Total Investment Of 12 Billion Yuan Lithium Battery Project Lands In Guangzhou
On March 2, Youngy Group announced that it signed the "Youngy Group Guangzhou Development Zone New Energy Intelligent Manufacturing Base" project on February 24. The project plans a total investment of 12 billion yuan and will encompass three core segments: consumer batteries, power batteries, and energy storage products. The project will address the shortcomings in Guangzhou's battery industry sector and also provide strong support for the development of emerging industries in the region, such as the low-altitude economy and intelligent robotics.
18 mins ago
Gansu's Annual 100,000-Ton Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Material Project Officially Commences Production
18 mins ago
Gansu's Annual 100,000-Ton Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Material Project Officially Commences Production
Read More
Gansu's Annual 100,000-Ton Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Material Project Officially Commences Production
Gansu's Annual 100,000-Ton Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Material Project Officially Commences Production
Recently, the commissioning ceremony for the first phase of Gansu Jinlin Lithium Battery New Materials Co., Ltd.'s annual 100,000-ton lithium-ion battery cathode material production line project was held in Lanzhou New Area. The project covers a total area of 363 mu with a total investment of 3.135 billion yuan. It will be constructed in two phases, each with a capacity of 100,000 tons. Construction of the first phase, the annual 100,000-ton lithium iron phosphate production line, began in April 2024 and has officially commenced production after over a year of construction.
18 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] Chinese New Year Off-Season “Reset,”  Sodium-Ion Battery Industry Chain Recovery Poised to Begin
1 hour ago
[SMM Analysis] Chinese New Year Off-Season “Reset,” Sodium-Ion Battery Industry Chain Recovery Poised to Begin
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Chinese New Year Off-Season “Reset,”  Sodium-Ion Battery Industry Chain Recovery Poised to Begin
[SMM Analysis] Chinese New Year Off-Season “Reset,” Sodium-Ion Battery Industry Chain Recovery Poised to Begin
February 2026 coincided with the Chinese New Year holiday. Affected by holiday factors, production pace across core segments of China’s sodium-ion battery industry generally slowed, showing an “off-season reset” trend. From cathodes, anodes, and electrolyte to battery cells and end-users, production across all segments declined MoM to varying degrees, while YoY still maintained a certain degree of growth resilience.
1 hour ago