Chip Prices to Rise Further in Q4 by 10 - 20% due to Tight Capacity

Published: Oct 11, 2021 10:23 (GMT+8)
The continued tight production capacity has prompted chip makers to raise the prices of chips again in Q4 with a range of 10 - 20%. The main reasons include semiconductor supply chain shortages, no signs of recovery in the foreseeable future, and the increasing costs of some key supporting sectors (foundry, raw materials, logistics, etc.).

SHANGHAI, Oct 11 (SMM) - The continued tight production capacity has prompted chip makers to raise the prices of chips again in Q4 with a range of 10 - 20%. The main reasons include semiconductor supply chain shortages, no signs of recovery in the foreseeable future, and the increasing costs of some key supporting sectors (foundry, raw materials, logistics, etc.).

The supply of PMICs for mobile phones is still tight, and domestic manufacturers are expected to benefit from the current situation. According to DIGITIMES Research estimate, the global shipments of PMICs for smartphones will reach 9.41 billion units in 2021, up 26.7% year-on-year, and are expected to maintain strong growth in 2022-2023, with growth rates of 29.9% and 26.0% respectively.

On the demand side, the penetration rate of 5G mobile phones continue to rise, while the number of RF front-end chips and modules expands, and the demand for individual PMICs grows significantly. On the supply side, PMICs for smartphones mostly use 0.11/0.18 micron BCD process, with production capacity concentrated in 8-inch. 8-inch BCD production capacity is currently in short supply. Furthermore, it is difficult to switch from 8-inch to 12-inch production capacity for a short period of time, so the production capacity will continue to be tight. On the other hand, the PMICs bundled with Qualcomm and MediaTek are at risk of running out of stock, so the proportion of bundled sales is being reduced and some product types are being released to provide alternative opportunities for international makers such as ST and Maxis, as well as domestic manufacturers such as Shengbang, Aiwei Electronics and Nanxin.

Though the current demand for semiconductors has demonstrated certain structural differentiation, the overall supply remains tight amid a booming market. The existing demand is solid, and 5G, new energy, photovoltaic, "new infrastructure" and other innovative applications have created massive new demand. At the same time, localisation is being vigorously promoted, and foundries and IDMs are continuing to expand production to meet increasing demand, thus benefiting the whole local semiconductor industry chain, with strong, long-term growth momentum.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Magnesium Prices Fall Nearly 14% in Over Half a Year, Hitting Yearly Low; Low-Priced Supply Hard to Find Support for Rebound [SMM Commentary]
6 hours ago
Magnesium Prices Fall Nearly 14% in Over Half a Year, Hitting Yearly Low; Low-Priced Supply Hard to Find Support for Rebound [SMM Commentary]
Read More
Magnesium Prices Fall Nearly 14% in Over Half a Year, Hitting Yearly Low; Low-Priced Supply Hard to Find Support for Rebound [SMM Commentary]
Magnesium Prices Fall Nearly 14% in Over Half a Year, Hitting Yearly Low; Low-Priced Supply Hard to Find Support for Rebound [SMM Commentary]
6 hours ago
【Flash | MMG Resets 2026 Mine Outlook as Las Bambas Targets the Top End】
7 hours ago
【Flash | MMG Resets 2026 Mine Outlook as Las Bambas Targets the Top End】
Read More
【Flash | MMG Resets 2026 Mine Outlook as Las Bambas Targets the Top End】
【Flash | MMG Resets 2026 Mine Outlook as Las Bambas Targets the Top End】
MMG expects Las Bambas to produce approximately 400,000 tonnes of copper in 2026, near the upper end of its 380,000–400,000-tonne guidance. Kinsevere is also expected to reach the upper end of its 65,000–75,000-tonne copper range. However, Khoemacau’s guidance was cut to 43,000–48,000 tonnes from 48,000–53,000 tonnes following development delays and equipment availability constraints. Las Bambas produced 2,745 tonnes of contained molybdenum in the first nine months, up 33% year on year, with a molybdenum flotation column scheduled for Q4. MMG did not provide numerical full-year molybdenum guidance.
7 hours ago
【Flash | Peru’s Molybdenum Recovery Fails to Offset Southern Copper’s Mexican Declines】
7 hours ago
【Flash | Peru’s Molybdenum Recovery Fails to Offset Southern Copper’s Mexican Declines】
Read More
【Flash | Peru’s Molybdenum Recovery Fails to Offset Southern Copper’s Mexican Declines】
【Flash | Peru’s Molybdenum Recovery Fails to Offset Southern Copper’s Mexican Declines】
Southern Copper, a subsidiary of Grupo México, reported mined molybdenum production of 7,702 tonnes in the third quarter of 2026, down 2.2% year on year. Molybdenum output fell 12.5% at La Caridad and 8.3% at Buenavista in Mexico, outweighing increases of 8.9% at Toquepala and 6.1% at Cuajone in Peru. The company’s molybdenum production for the first nine months declined 5.2% year on year to 22,264 tonnes.
7 hours ago