China Rare Earth Exports Fell in July and Prices Rose, What is the Driving Force?

Published: Aug 10, 2021 14:59 (GMT+8)
China rare earth exports in July stood at 3955 mt, down 1.4% month on month but surged 144.2% year on year according to the General Administration of Customs. The average export prices was $16460/mt, up 23% month on month and 5% year on year. The export volume totalled 1620 mt in the same period of last year.

SHANGHAI, Aug 10 (SMM) - China rare earth exports in July stood at 3955 mt, down 1.4% month on month but surged 144.2% year on year according to the General Administration of Customs. The average export prices was $16460/mt, up 23% month on month and 5% year on year. The export volume totalled 1620 mt in the same period of last year.

The fall of export volume in July on a monthly basis was mainly due to the tight domestic supply in the month as cargo holders were unwilling to sell, combined with summer break in overseas market.

On the other hand, prices of domestic mainstream rare earth products surged, leading to MoM increases in export prices as the overseas market was also impacted by the high quotation. For example, Pr-Nd oxide averaged at 557000 yuan/mt in the month, up 18% on a month basis; Pr-Nd metal averaged at 694000 yuan/mt, rising by 19% from the previous month.

In addition, the YoY growth rate of rare earth exports in July surged to 144.2%, because the overall exports were comparatively low last year due to the pandemic. However, export prices in July only added 5% on the year in spite of the board increases of prices among mainstream products. Why is that?

SMM thinks that the comparatively mild volatility in prices of lanthanum and cerium products, which made up the majority of the total exports, was the leading cause. For example, the prices of lanthanum oxide and cerium oxide in July declined 19% and 15% respectively year on year; while Pr-Nd oxide surged nearly 90%, indicating a much weaker price pattern of lanthanum and cerium.

The tightened domestic supply is likely to sustain in the short term in light of the resurged pandemic across the globe and China, continued challenges on the prevention of imported COVID cases, hindered imports of ionic ore from Myanmar, and disrupted production among some companies because of environmental protection measures.

China rare earth export volume is expected to trend down further in August.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 22
2 mins ago
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 22
Read More
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 22
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 22
2 mins ago
Rare earth prices diverge, Pr-Nd continues to rise while medium-heavy rare earth remains in the doldrums [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
3 hours ago
Rare earth prices diverge, Pr-Nd continues to rise while medium-heavy rare earth remains in the doldrums [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
Read More
Rare earth prices diverge, Pr-Nd continues to rise while medium-heavy rare earth remains in the doldrums [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
Rare earth prices diverge, Pr-Nd continues to rise while medium-heavy rare earth remains in the doldrums [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
[SMM Rare Earth Daily Review: Rare earth prices diverge, with Pr-Nd rising continuously while medium-heavy rare earth remains in the doldrums] Overall, today's rare earth market showed a divergent pattern of "Pr-Nd prices raised while medium-heavy rare earth prices remained in the doldrums." In terms of transactions, the higher quotes did not simultaneously ignite buying interest. Downstream magnetic material enterprises remained largely in a wait-and-see mood, mainly purchasing on a rigid demand basis, and the actual negotiation center between buyers and sellers still had a gap. In the short term, although downstream magnetic material enterprises' rigid stocking demand emerged as the holiday approaches, their capacity to accept high-priced metals is limited, and Pr-Nd product prices may move sideways in a narrow range.
3 hours ago
Dominican Republic Advances Rare Earth Project, Aims to Announce Reserves by 2027
5 hours ago
Dominican Republic Advances Rare Earth Project, Aims to Announce Reserves by 2027
Read More
Dominican Republic Advances Rare Earth Project, Aims to Announce Reserves by 2027
Dominican Republic Advances Rare Earth Project, Aims to Announce Reserves by 2027
The Dominican Republic's Ministry of Energy and Mines reported that the country has compiled more than 5,000 sample analysis results from the rare earth project, making it possible to determine the project's resource estimate in November this year. The ministry plans to announce the project's first reserves in H1 2027 once the required technical and economic feasibility studies, including metallurgical, economic, environmental, and logistics studies, are completed. Dominican Minister of Energy and Mines Joel Santos announced the results and also commended the Cooperation Framework signed between the Dominican Republic and the US. The framework aims to secure the supply of critical minerals such as rare earths, a strategic step to consolidate bilateral relations and attract investment.
5 hours ago