China Rare Earth Exports Fell in July and Prices Rose, What is the Driving Force?

Published: Aug 10, 2021 14:59
China rare earth exports in July stood at 3955 mt, down 1.4% month on month but surged 144.2% year on year according to the General Administration of Customs. The average export prices was $16460/mt, up 23% month on month and 5% year on year. The export volume totalled 1620 mt in the same period of last year.

SHANGHAI, Aug 10 (SMM) - China rare earth exports in July stood at 3955 mt, down 1.4% month on month but surged 144.2% year on year according to the General Administration of Customs. The average export prices was $16460/mt, up 23% month on month and 5% year on year. The export volume totalled 1620 mt in the same period of last year.

The fall of export volume in July on a monthly basis was mainly due to the tight domestic supply in the month as cargo holders were unwilling to sell, combined with summer break in overseas market.

On the other hand, prices of domestic mainstream rare earth products surged, leading to MoM increases in export prices as the overseas market was also impacted by the high quotation. For example, Pr-Nd oxide averaged at 557000 yuan/mt in the month, up 18% on a month basis; Pr-Nd metal averaged at 694000 yuan/mt, rising by 19% from the previous month.

In addition, the YoY growth rate of rare earth exports in July surged to 144.2%, because the overall exports were comparatively low last year due to the pandemic. However, export prices in July only added 5% on the year in spite of the board increases of prices among mainstream products. Why is that?

SMM thinks that the comparatively mild volatility in prices of lanthanum and cerium products, which made up the majority of the total exports, was the leading cause. For example, the prices of lanthanum oxide and cerium oxide in July declined 19% and 15% respectively year on year; while Pr-Nd oxide surged nearly 90%, indicating a much weaker price pattern of lanthanum and cerium.

The tightened domestic supply is likely to sustain in the short term in light of the resurged pandemic across the globe and China, continued challenges on the prevention of imported COVID cases, hindered imports of ionic ore from Myanmar, and disrupted production among some companies because of environmental protection measures.

China rare earth export volume is expected to trend down further in August.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 16
2 hours ago
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 16
Read More
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 16
SMM Rare Earth Afternoon Trading Comment on September 16
2 hours ago
Rare earth market prices in the doldrums, actual transactions lack momentum [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
5 hours ago
Rare earth market prices in the doldrums, actual transactions lack momentum [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
Read More
Rare earth market prices in the doldrums, actual transactions lack momentum [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
Rare earth market prices in the doldrums, actual transactions lack momentum [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]
[SMM Rare Earth Daily Review: Rare earth market prices in the doldrums, actual transactions struggle to gain traction] Overall, the market shifted from yesterday's consolidation to a weaker trend today, with declines concentrated mainly in the terbium and Pr-Nd series. The transaction side remained sluggish, with downstream demand dominated by small rigid orders and actual negotiations centered around low-priced cargoes, while inquiries for other varieties stayed steady. In the short term, with the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday approaching, pre-holiday stockpiling expectations still exist, but both the cost side and transaction side have weakened, and Pr-Nd prices may move sideways within a narrow range. Whether the upward momentum can follow through still depends on the pace of stockpiling demand release from magnetic material enterprises.
5 hours ago
[SMM Rare Earth Morning Meeting Summary] Pr-Nd oxide consolidated on a subdued note in the afternoon with more seller concessions, dysprosium remained stable while terbium held steady at low levels, and magnetic material activity was moderate.
9 hours ago
[SMM Rare Earth Morning Meeting Summary] Pr-Nd oxide consolidated on a subdued note in the afternoon with more seller concessions, dysprosium remained stable while terbium held steady at low levels, and magnetic material activity was moderate.
Read More
[SMM Rare Earth Morning Meeting Summary] Pr-Nd oxide consolidated on a subdued note in the afternoon with more seller concessions, dysprosium remained stable while terbium held steady at low levels, and magnetic material activity was moderate.
[SMM Rare Earth Morning Meeting Summary] Pr-Nd oxide consolidated on a subdued note in the afternoon with more seller concessions, dysprosium remained stable while terbium held steady at low levels, and magnetic material activity was moderate.
[Pr-Nd oxide consolidates on a subdued note in the afternoon with more seller concessions, dysprosium stable while terbium holds at lows, magnetic material activity moderate] Yesterday, Pr-Nd oxide was affected by fluctuations in futures prices. In the afternoon, seller concessions increased somewhat, while magnetic material enterprises showed weak willingness to enter the market. Low-priced sources remained the mainstay of transactions, with actual shipments limited. Dysprosium oxide quotes held steady, with limited inquiries and sporadic deals. Terbium oxide high-level offers still struggled to find takers, and suppliers made slight price concessions to facilitate shipments, with actual negotiated prices on the lower side.
9 hours ago