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SMM Morning Comments (Apr 7): Shanghai base metals rose for the most part amid weaker dollar and US Treasury yields
Apr 7,2021 10:00CST
price review forecast
Source:SMM
Shanghai nonferrous metals fell for the most part on Wednesday morning, while their counterparts on the LME also declined broadly. 

SHANGHAI, Apr 7 (SMM) — Shanghai nonferrous metals fell for the most part on Wednesday morning, while their counterparts on the LME also declined broadly. 

In overnight trading, Shanghai base metals rose for the most part due to weaker dollar and US Treasury yields. 

The LME complex all closed higher on Tuesday. Copper jumped 2.67%, aluminium rose 1.35%, zinc increased 2.2%, nickel surged 3.05%, lead added 0.51% and tin gained 2.71%. 

Copper: Three-month LME copper jumped 2.67% to close at $9,040/mt on Tuesday, while the most-traded SHFE 2105 copper contract ended at 67,370 yuan/mt in overnight trading. The US dollar and US Treasury yields both declined, which supported copper futures.  Sellers of spot copper held prices firm as downstream demand will improve further amid a traditional high season and many copper smelters will conduct maintenance in April. LME copper is expected to trade between $9,010-9,090/mt today, and SHFE copper between 67,200-67,700 yuan/mt, while spot copper will be traded between discounts of 50 yuan/mt and premiums of 20 yuan/mt.

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium advanced 1.35% to close at $2,260/mt on Tuesday, and is expected to trade between $2,230-2,280/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2105 aluminium contract settled at 17,585 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest rising 3,203 lots to 201,000 lots, and is likely to fluctuate between 17,400-17,600 yuan/mt today.

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc settled 2.2% higher at $2,830/mt on Tuesday after hitting a two-week high of $2,849/mt earlier in the session, with open interest adding 1,276 lots to 234,000 lots. Zinc stocks across LME-listed warehouses shrank by 1,850 mt or 0.68% to 268,650 mt. Zinc prices increased amid falling US dollar and US Treasury yields, and the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its 2021 growth outlook for the global economy to 6%, up from January’s forecast of 5.5%, which boosted bullish sentiment. But rising COVID-19 cases globally capped gains. LME zinc is expected to fluctuate between $2,800-2,850/mt today.

The most-traded SHFE 2105 zinc contract added 0.57% to close at an intraday high of 21,915 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest rising 3,297 lots to 75,399 lots. The May contract is likely to move between 21,500-22,000 yuan/mt today, while spot discounts for domestic 0# Shuangyan will be seen at 10-20 yuan/mt against the contract.

Nickel: The most-liquid SHFE 2106 nickel contract advanced 0.53% to end at 126,210 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest rising 6,095 lots to 163,000 lots. Three-month LME nickel surged 3.05% to settle at $16,720/mt on Tuesday.

Lead: Three-month LME lead gained 0.51% to close at $1,968/mt on Tuesday, and whether it could steady above the five-day moving average today will be monitored.  

The most-active SHFE 2105 lead contract edged down 0.1% to end at 14,970 yuan/mt in overnight trading. Support from the 14,900 mark will be watched today.

Tin: Three-month LME tin settled 2.71% firmer at $25,800/mt on Tuesday, with open interest losing 71 lots to 12,220 lots. It is expected to trade between $25,000-26,000/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2106 tin contract increased 0.72% to end at 185,630 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest adding 1,206 lots to 36,132 lots. Market talks that environmental inspection team will come to Yunnan in April stoked concerns on supply of tin raw materials. It is expected to trade between 177,000-190,000 yuan/mt today.

Copper
Aluminium
Nickel
Zinc
Lead
Tin

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