Operating rates at copper tube producers missed expectations in February

Published: Mar 11, 2021 13:52
Operating rates at domestic copper tube producers stood at 62.67% in February, 20.04 percentage points lower month on month but 23.61 percentage points higher year on year, according to an SMM survey of 22 producers with total capacity of 2.27 million mt/year.

SHANGHAI, Mar 11 (SMM)—Operating rates at domestic copper tube producers stood at 62.67% in February, 20.04 percentage points lower month on month but 23.61 percentage points higher year on year, according to an SMM survey of 22 producers with total capacity of 2.27 million mt/year. The decline in copper tube operating rates was larger than expected, as surging copper prices after the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday dampened the recovery of downstream consumption.  Most of the large-scale producers reduced the number of days of the holiday or operated normally, while small and medium-scale producers mostly started the holiday from early February and restored production after February 26.

The feedstock inventory/monthly output ratio at copper tube makers stood at 15.91% in February

In February, the ratio of raw material inventory to total production stood at 15.91%, an increase of 1.58 percentage points from the previous month. Some copper tube producers stockpiled raw materials before CNY, but post-holiday hiking copper prices curbed downstream consumption, which slowed their consumption of raw materials. 

Operating rates to rise to 81.73% in March

SMM expects operating rates of copper tube producers to gain 19.06 percentage points on the month and 6 percentage points on the year to 81.73% in March. Scheduled production at major air-conditioning manufacturers surged 106% month on month in March, which is likely to encourage copper tube producers to step up production. Copper tube plants have basically resumed operations currently, and a large-scale producer reported more than 90% capacity utilization rate. They are expected to accelerate production in March as orders increase.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
【Flash | A Perfect Storm of Supply Risks Keeps Molybdenum Oxide Near Recent Highs】
4 hours ago
【Flash | A Perfect Storm of Supply Risks Keeps Molybdenum Oxide Near Recent Highs】
Read More
【Flash | A Perfect Storm of Supply Risks Keeps Molybdenum Oxide Near Recent Highs】
【Flash | A Perfect Storm of Supply Risks Keeps Molybdenum Oxide Near Recent Highs】
SMM learned that overseas mine production cuts, extreme weather in South America, and declining ore grades and recovery rates were intensively discussed during a recent industry association meeting. These concerns strengthened expectations of tighter overseas molybdenum supply, stimulated some buying and pushed molybdenum oxide prices to around $34/lb Mo. Supply-side expectations continue to support prices, while some mine production, grade and recovery issues may not improve materially until around 2028. China’s market also remains firm, but elevated prices are discouraging chasing. Well-funded buyers, low-inventory users and producers with firm orders continue to purchase as needed, while processors mainly restock to maintain production.
4 hours ago
China's copper import arbitrage recovers as spot copper premium rises rapidly
5 hours ago
China's copper import arbitrage recovers as spot copper premium rises rapidly
Read More
China's copper import arbitrage recovers as spot copper premium rises rapidly
China's copper import arbitrage recovers as spot copper premium rises rapidly
Recently, LME copper inventories increased, the futures-spot structure shifted, and China's import arbitrage continued to climb. Today, downstream demand for imported copper in the Shanghai region clearly recovered, while supply was relatively tight. In the morning session, cargoes at Lingang were almost swept clean, and the spot copper premium rose rapidly.
5 hours ago
LME copper inventories continue to increase
5 hours ago
LME copper inventories continue to increase
Read More
LME copper inventories continue to increase
LME copper inventories continue to increase
The recent COMEX-LME copper price spread has narrowed, with the COMEX copper 2610 and LME 3M contract spread inverting, indicating a decline in the US pull effect on copper. On September 14, LME copper inventories stood at 249,225 mt, up 6,325 mt from the previous day. With the continued increase in LME copper inventories recently, the LME nearby contracts have shifted to a Contango structure and widened.
5 hours ago
Operating rates at copper tube producers missed expectations in February - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)