SMM Evening Comments (Feb 3): Shanghai nonferrous metals declined for the most part, zinc advanced 0.69%

Published: Feb 03, 2021 18:00 (GMT+8)
SHFE nonferrous metals broadly fell on Thursday February 3 as a private survey showed China's services sector activity growth slowing sharply in January.

SHANGHAI, Feb 3 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals broadly fell on Thursday February 3 as a private survey showed China's services sector activity growth slowing sharply in January.

Shanghai nonferrous metals, except for zinc, traded lower on Thursday February 3. Tin dropped 2.51% to lead the losses, aluminium shed 0.86%, lead declined 1.47%, copper went down 1.06% and nickel fell 1.75%, while zinc advanced 0.69%.

The ferrous complex closed mixed. Iron ore decreased 0.89%, rebar slipped 0.22%, while hot-rolled coil rose 0.02%.

Copper: The most-traded SHFE 2103 copper contract finished the day 1.06% lower at 57,000 yuan/mt. Open interest fell 4,110 lots to 113,563 lots.

The US Senate initiated special procedures to pass the $1.9 trillion stimulus plan without Republicans. GameStop, AMC and silver fell sharply across the board, and the speculative upsurge of retail investors retreated. GameStop closed below $100 for the first time in a week, its market value evaporated by more than $27 billion, and the proportion of short positions in tradable shares plummeted to 51%. Last night, Shanghai Futures Exchange and China Securities Regulatory Commission issued a document to raise the risk of margin warning and improve the supervision of silver trading. China Caixin/Markit services Purchasing Managers’ Index for January weakened month on month, which led to more cautious market sentiment and suppressed long positions radical sentiment.

US ADP employment data, the trend of US dollar index and whether the contract could stop falling will come under scrutiny tonight.

Aluminium: The most-liquid SHFE 2103 aluminium contract finished the day 0.86% lower at 14,965 yuan/mt. Open interest rose 1,982 lots to 167,214 lots. Support from the fundamentals was insufficient, and the participation of speculative funds declined. It is estimated that the contract will fluctuate between 14,700-15,100 yuan/mt tonight.

Zinc: The most-active SHFE 2103 zinc contract slid to a session low of 19,465 yuan/mt and closed up 0.69% at 19,650 yuan/mt. Open interest fell 2,256 lots to 93,857 lots. On the fundamentals, TCs for imported ore under long-term contracts were still in a downward trend, and the performance of domestic zinc ingot inventory in January is better than the market expectation, which provided a driving force for the rise of zinc prices. Whether the five-day moving average could form support will be monitored tonight.

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE 2104 nickel contract ended the day 1.75% lower at 129,630 yuan/mt today. Open interest rose 11,084 lots to 154,373 lots.

Lead: The most-traded SHFE 2103 lead contract rose to an intraday high of 15,050 yuan/mt and ended the day 1.47% lower at 14,765 yuan/mt. Open interest fell 67 lots to 35,247 lots. Near the delivery date of the February contract, spot trading is getting more and more tepid, and some cargo holders have certain selling delivery intentions due to the demand for funds to be returned before the holiday. The contract will test support from 14,800 yuan/mt tonight.

Tin: The most-liquid SHFE 2103 tin contract rose to an intraday high of 168,400 yuan/mt and finished the day 2.51% lower at 164,180 yuan/mt today. Open interest fell 2,963 lots to 12,070 lots.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Read More
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru's Energy and Mines Minister Guillermo Shinno said the country expects to add about 1 million tonnes of annual copper production within five to six years through new mining projects. The world's third-largest copper producer anticipates 2026 output of 2.5 to 2.7 million tonnes, roughly unchanged from 2023 as declining ore grades and recurring social conflicts weigh on supply. The newly elected government is seeking to reverse that stagnation by cutting red tape; in the two months since taking office, mining companies have stepped up engagement with the ministry. Shinno said officials have identified 27 permits that could be eliminated from roughly 100 mining-sector requirements, without lowering environmenta
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Sep 25, 2026 20:26 (GMT+8)
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Read More
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Indian copper producers are seeking a GST cut to 5% from 18%, citing rising working-capital requirements amid record-high copper prices.
Sep 25, 2026 20:26 (GMT+8)
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Sep 25, 2026 16:43 (GMT+8)
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Read More
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Zambia’s sulphuric acid shortage is becoming a growing constraint on copper production and refining. Jubilee Metals reported acid costs rising by more than 200% in Q4 FY2026, while Sable cathode output fell to 250 t from 361 t in Q3. Government data also showed small-scale copper production down 35.2% YoY in H1 2026, highlighting the sector’s exposure to tight acid availability and higher processing costs.
Sep 25, 2026 16:43 (GMT+8)