SMM Morning Comments (Feb 3): Base metals on LME rose broadly as investors watch for stimulus progress

Published: Feb 3, 2021 10:15
Nonferrous metals on the LME were mostly higher on Wednesday morning as investors are monitoring negotiations in Washington surrounding another stimulus package, while their counterparts on the SHFE also fell for the most part.

SHANGHAI, Feb 3 (SMM) — Nonferrous metals on the LME were mostly higher on Wednesday morning as investors are monitoring negotiations in Washington surrounding another stimulus package, while their counterparts on the SHFE also fell for the most part. 

Shanghai base metals fell for the most part in overnight trading. Copper shed 0.56%, aluminium weakened 0.79%, nickel declined 1.23% and tin slid 1.26%, while zinc advanced 0.49% and lead edged up 0.1%. 

The LME complex, except for aluminium, also cruised lower on Tuesday. Copper slipped 0.9%, zinc shed 0.21%, lead slid 0.96%, nickel pulled back 0.84% and tin weakened 0.5%, while aluminium gained 0.54%. 

Copper: Three-month LME copper declined 0.9% to close at $7,752/mt on Tuesday, while the most-active SHFE 2103 copper contract slid 0.56% to end at 57,290 yuan/mt in overnight trading after hitting a nearly two-month low at 56,920 yuan/mt earlier in the session. 

Investors are monitoring negotiations in Washington surrounding another stimulus package. President Joe Biden met with the 10 Republican senators on Monday to discuss an alternative, smaller aid proposal to his $1.9 trillion package. 

Trades were quiet in the spot market as many enterprises suspended production for the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday earlier than previous years, and copper social inventories rose slightly this week.    

LME copper is expected to trade between $7,790-7,870/mt today, and SHFE copper between 57,100-57,600 yuan/mt, while spot copper will be traded between discounts of 30 yuan/mt and premiums of 70 yuan/mt.

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium bounced off a two-week low of $1,953/mt to an intraday high of $1,979/mt before relinquishing some gains to end 0.54% higher at $1,971/mt on Tuesday, with open interest adding 4,145 lots to 735,000 lots.

The most-liquid SHFE 2103 aluminium contract settled 0.79% lower at 14,975 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest rising 2,989 lots to 168,000 lots, and is likely to move between 14,800-15,100 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums will be seen stable at 0-20 yuan/mt.

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc settled 0.21% lower at $2,569.5/mt on Tuesday, with open interest rising 1,627 lots to 235,000 lots. Zinc stocks across LME-listed warehouses dropped by 400 mt or 0.14% to 291,350 mt. Rising US dollar weighed on LME zinc overnight, but expectations of President Biden's stimulus plan are likely to limit its decline. LME zinc is likely to fluctuate between $2,550-2,600/mt today.

The most-traded SHFE 2103 zinc contract added 0.49% to close at 19,610 yuan/mt in overnight trading. Zinc concentrate remained in tight supply, while zinc consumption weakened as it is approaching the CNY holiday. Zinc prices are likely to continue to fluctuate range-bound in the short term amid weak demand and supply. The March contract is likely to move between 19,300-19,800 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan will be seen at 170-180 yuan/mt against the February contract.

Nickel: The most-liquid SHFE 2104 nickel contract fell 1.23% to end at 130,320 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest increasing 14,000 lots to 157,000 lots.

Lead: Three-month LME lead weakened 0.96% to settle at $2,013.5/mt on Tuesday. LME lead stocks extended declines, shrinking 2,150 mt to 94,625 mt. 

The most-active SHFE 2103 lead contract inched up 0.1% to close at 15,000 yuan/mt in overnight trading after hitting a two-week low at 14,830 yuan/mt earlier in the session.

Tin: Three-month LME tin climbed to its highest since 2014 of $23,435/mt on Tuesday before giving up all the gains to end 0.5% lower at $22,955/mt. LME tin stocks extended declines to 790 mt. Tight tin supply is expected to underpin tin prices in the near term. LME tin is expected to trade between $22,500-24,000/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2103 tin contract dropped 1.26% to end at 166,290 yuan/mt in overnight trading. It is likely to fluctuate between 162,000-170,000 yuan/mt today.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Feb 6, 2026 23:56
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
Feb 6, 2026 23:56
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Feb 6, 2026 23:54
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
Feb 6, 2026 23:54
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Feb 6, 2026 23:47
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
Feb 6, 2026 23:47