Analysis of primary aluminium replacing aluminium scrap amid nearing CNY

Published: Jan 25, 2021 14:35
Back in March-April 2020, a large number of secondary aluminium enterprises used primary aluminium to replace aluminium scrap due to the sharp drop in aluminium prices and the impact of the pandemic on aluminium scrap recycling.

SHANGHAI, Jan 25 (SMM) — Back in March-April 2020, a large number of secondary aluminium enterprises used primary aluminium to replace aluminium scrap due to the sharp drop in aluminium prices and the impact of the pandemic on aluminium scrap recycling. Secondary aluminium companies have shown greater interest in purchasing A00 aluminium recently.

Replacing aluminium scrap with primary aluminium must meet both requirements: 1. Selling price of finished product must be higher than costs for using primary aluminium as raw materials; 2. the price of aluminium scrap is higher than that of primary aluminium. Major users of aluminium scrap are casting aluminium alloy ingot and remelting aluminium billet producers. Take the Guangdong market as an example. Generally speaking, only when processing fees of 6063 aluminium billets and ADC12 aluminium alloy ingots exceed 300 yuan/mt and 1,200 yuan/mt will there be significant profits for using primary aluminium as raw material and producers are willing to replace aluminium scrap with primary aluminium. Secondary aluminium producers reported decent orders recently due to positive automobile consumption. Due to the continuous decline in the price of A00 aluminium, prices of ADC12 secondary aluminium were 1,200 yuan/mt higher than A00 aluminium, meeting one of the requirements for substitution. However, for aluminium billets, processing fees remained lower than costs for using primary aluminium as raw materials.

As the price of aluminium scrap fell much slower than that of A00 aluminium, the price gap between primary aluminium and aluminium scrap has narrowed since December 2020. However, prices of aluminium scrap tense and aluminium scrap taint remained 1,000 yuan/mt and 500 yuan/mt lower than A00 aluminium on a tax-included basis. Despite unfavourable price gap between primary aluminium and aluminium scrap, some companies plan to stockpile A00 aluminium due to aluminium scrap shortages in some regions and optimism over aluminium scrap prices.

Processing fees of 6063 aluminium billets and ADC12 secondary aluminium

Source: SMM

A00 aluminium prices, price gap between primary aluminium and aluminium scrap

Source: SMM

For more information on the silicon metal and aluminium markets, please subscribe to China Aluminium Weekly.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
17 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
17 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
17 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
17 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
17 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
17 hours ago