SMM Evening Comments (Jan 13): Shanghai nonferrous metals were mostly higher, nickel surged 3.15%

Published: Jan 13, 2021 18:23
Shanghai base metals rose for the most part on Wednesday January 13. Nickel, the best performer, jumped 3.15%, copper added 0.72%, lead rose 1.72% and tin edged up 0.1%, while aluminium fell 1.11% and zinc shed 0.14%.

SHANGHAI, Jan 13 (SMM) – Shanghai base metals rose for the most part on Wednesday January 13. Nickel, the best performer, jumped 3.15%, copper added 0.72%, lead rose 1.72% and tin edged up 0.1%, while aluminium fell 1.11% and zinc shed 0.14%.

Planned output of construction steel rebar across China's major blast furnace steelmakers is estimated to fall 1.85% from the achieved production in December to 7.98 million mt in January, showed an SMM survey.

Copper: The most-active SHFE 2103 copper contract finished the day 0.72% higher at 58,780 yuan/mt, with open interest rising 3,873 lots to 114,000 lots.    

Third-ranking GOP Rep. Liz Cheney said she will vote to impeach President Donald Trump for his role in a mob attack on the Capitol last week. In the past week, Fed officials began to discuss the topic of reducing the central bank’s debt purchases, but Governors of the Boston Fed and the St. Louis Fed believed that it is too early to discuss debt reduction.

China’s outstanding total social financing was 284.83 trillion yuan at the end of December, and new yuan loans saw steady growth in 2020 as the country continued to keep liquidity at a reasonable and ample level amid efforts to bolster economic recovery. New yuan-denominated loans totaled 19.63 trillion yuan in 2020, up by 2.82 trillion yuan year on year, central bank data showed Tuesday. The M2, a broad measure of money supply covering cash in circulation and all deposits, increased by 10.1 percent year on year to 218.68 trillion yuan at the end of 2020. The M2 growth was 0.6 percentage points lower than that at the end of November but was 1.4 percentage points higher than the same period of the year before.

The US dollar index returned below 90, while oil prices rose sharply, which supported copper prices. 

Whether the contract could steady above 58,500 yuan/mt tonight will be monitored.

Zinc: The most-traded SHFE 2102 zinc contract closed the day 0.14% lower at 20,760 yuan/mt, after hitting a nearly two-week low at 20,625 yuan/mt earlier in the session, with open interest losing 1,653 lots to 59,069 lots. Short supply of zinc concentrate eased slightly, and zinc inventories built up amid weak consumption, which pressured zinc prices. 

Lead: The most-liquid SHFE 2103 lead contract closed 1.72% higher on the day at 14,795 yuan/mt, with open interest rising 2,288 lots to 29,333 lots. Expectations of pre-holiday stockpiling, relatively tight spot supply and stable operating rates at downstream users boosted lead prices.

Tin: The most-traded SHFE 2103 tin contract edged up 0.1% to finish the day at 153,240 yuan/mt, with open interest rising 1,013 lots to 31,848 lots. It is expected to move between 152,000-155,000 yuan/mt tonight.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Ivanhoe Expands DRC Western Forelands Copper Resource by 30%, Makoko Scoping Study Planned for 2027
1 hour ago
Ivanhoe Expands DRC Western Forelands Copper Resource by 30%, Makoko Scoping Study Planned for 2027
Read More
Ivanhoe Expands DRC Western Forelands Copper Resource by 30%, Makoko Scoping Study Planned for 2027
Ivanhoe Expands DRC Western Forelands Copper Resource by 30%, Makoko Scoping Study Planned for 2027
Ivanhoe Mines has increased the contained copper resource at its Western Forelands exploration project in the Democratic Republic of Congo by approximately 30%, further expanding the scale of the Makoko District copper discovery.​ The updated 2026 Mineral Resource includes 42 million tonnes of Indicated Resources grading 2.66% copper and 612 million tonnes of Inferred Resources grading 1.80% copper, on a 100% basis. Ivanhoe said approximately 64,000 metres of diamond drilling across 106 holes completed since its May 2025 resource update increased contained copper to around 12 million tonnes.​ The Western Forelands licence package covers approximately 2,426 sq km, more than six times the area of the adjacent Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex. Ivanhoe describes Western Forelands as the world’s largest and highest-grade copper discovery of the past decade.​ The company is carrying out a record 94,500-metre exploration drilling programme in 2026, while the latest resource estimate only incorporates drilling completed up to March 31. Ivanhoe plans to expand drilling further in Q4 2026, including additional infill work targeting shallow mineralisation with potential for open-pit extraction.​A Makoko scoping study is scheduled to begin in Q1 2027, with conceptual mine planning already considering multiple shallow open pits.​ The 30% increase in contained copper materially strengthens Makoko’s scale and moves the project closer to formal development assessment. The planned scoping study marks an important transition from exploration toward evaluating potential mine economics. Ivanhoe also expects its experience developing the adjacent Kamoa-Kakula complex to support a faster development pathway. However, Makoko remains at an early study stage, with capital requirements, production rates and a definitive development schedule yet to be established.
1 hour ago
GACC: China's January-August copper ore and concentrate imports totaled 19.49 million mt, down 2.8% YoY
3 hours ago
GACC: China's January-August copper ore and concentrate imports totaled 19.49 million mt, down 2.8% YoY
Read More
GACC: China's January-August copper ore and concentrate imports totaled 19.49 million mt, down 2.8% YoY
GACC: China's January-August copper ore and concentrate imports totaled 19.49 million mt, down 2.8% YoY
3 hours ago
Global Copper Concentrate Market Tightens as Smelting Capacity Expands — Cochilco
3 hours ago
Global Copper Concentrate Market Tightens as Smelting Capacity Expands — Cochilco
Read More
Global Copper Concentrate Market Tightens as Smelting Capacity Expands — Cochilco
Global Copper Concentrate Market Tightens as Smelting Capacity Expands — Cochilco
The global copper concentrate market is facing increasingly structural tightness as smelting capacity expands faster than the availability of concentrates for third-party processors, according to the Chilean Copper Commission (Cochilco).​ In its newly released Concentrate Market and Smelter Industry Report 2026, Cochilco said declining ore grades, project delays and operational disruptions have constrained mine-side concentrate supply, while new smelting capacity has continued to expand rapidly, particularly in China and Indonesia.​ The imbalance has pushed spot treatment and refining charges, or TC/RCs, to near-zero and in some cases negative levels during 2025 and 2026. Cochilco said the pressure is not purely cyclical, noting that part of future mine production is expected to be processed at integrated facilities in producing countries rather than sold into the merchant concentrate market.​ As a result, concentrate availability for independent smelters could remain tight even if global mine supply improves toward 2028.​ The report estimates that identified projects could add around 8.2 million mt/year of fine-copper-equivalent smelting capacity globally by 2041, with most of the growth concentrated in Asia. China and India are expected to account for nearly half of the planned additions, further intensifying competition for feedstock.​ Cochilco also highlighted Chile’s position in the market. The country accounted for around 23% of global copper concentrate production in 2025 and has approximately 5.44 million mt/year of concentrate treatment capacity, the largest in Latin America. However, Chilean smelters currently operate at only around 60% of installed capacity.​ The report reinforces the view that pressure on the global concentrate market could persist even if mine supply recovers. Continued smelting expansion without equivalent growth in freely traded concentrate supply is likely to keep TC/RCs under pressure and strengthen miners’ negotiating position. For smelters, profitability may increasingly depend on higher utilisation rates, better operational efficiency and additional revenues from sulfuric acid, energy and associated-metal recovery rather than TC/RC income alone.
3 hours ago
SMM Evening Comments (Jan 13): Shanghai nonferrous metals were mostly higher, nickel surged 3.15% - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)