SMM Morning Comments (Dec 28): Shanghai base metals were mostly higher as data shows China’s industrial profits rose in November

Published: Dec 28, 2020 09:23
Shanghai base metals advanced for the most part on Monday morning as data showed that China’s industrial profits rose in November.

SHANGHAI, Dec 28 (SMM) — Shanghai base metals advanced for the most part on Monday morning as data showed that China’s industrial profits rose in November.

Profits at Chinese industrial firms in November rose 15.5% as compared with a year earlier, according to data released by the country’s National Bureau of Statistics over the weekend.

Shanghai base metals mostly closed higher on last Friday night. Copper added 0.15%, zinc advanced 0.79%, lead gained 1.37% and nickel firmed 1.1%, while aluminium shed 0.91% and tin slid 0.22%. 

The London Metals Exchange was closed last Friday for the Christmas holiday.

Copper: The most-traded SHFE 2102 copper contract added 0.15% to close at 58,340 yuan/mt on last Friday night. Following the lockdown in Britain, the Japanese government adopted entry restrictions to curb the spread of the virus. SHFE copper is expected to move between 57,900-58,400 yuan/mt today, while spot copper will be traded between discounts of 70 yuan/mt and premiums of 30 yuan/mt.

Nickel: The most-active SHFE 2103 nickel contract rose 1.1% to settle at 127,880 yuan/mt on last Friday night, with open interest rising 6,437 lots to 149,000 lots. Pressure above from the ten-day moving average will be monitored today.

Zinc:  The most-liquid SHFE 2102 zinc contract ended 0.79% higher at 21,785 yuan/mt on last Friday night, with open interest increasing 682 lots to 98,427 lots. Treatment charges (TCs) for zinc concentrate continued to fall, and zinc consumption in east and south China remained strong even though operating rates at galvanising producers in north China extended declines. The February contract is likely to move between 21,500-22,000 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan will be seen stable at 90-110 yuan/mt against the January contract.

Lead: The most-traded SHFE 2102 lead contract rose 1.37% to close at 14,840 yuan/mt on last Friday night. Lead stocks across SHFE-listed warehouses declined slightly last week, after building up for ten consecutive weeks. Lead supply is expected to be affected by environmental restrictions this week, while consumption is likely to weaken as it approaches the end of the year.

Tin: The most-active SHFE 2102 tin contract shed 0.22% to end at 152,500 yuan/mt on last Friday night, with open interest decreasing 4061 lots to 15609 lots. SHFE tin is likely to fluctuate between 150,000-156,000 yuan/mt today.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
40 Oil Tankers Transport 16 Million Barrels of Crude Through Strait of Hormuz
1 hour ago
40 Oil Tankers Transport 16 Million Barrels of Crude Through Strait of Hormuz
Read More
40 Oil Tankers Transport 16 Million Barrels of Crude Through Strait of Hormuz
40 Oil Tankers Transport 16 Million Barrels of Crude Through Strait of Hormuz
According to US media Axios quoting three US officials on the 22nd, on the evening of the 21st, about 40 oil tankers passed through the southern channel of the Strait of Hormuz, shipping out about 16 million barrels of crude oil.
1 hour ago
US Imposes 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods; Canada Suspends Trade Talks and Retaliates with Equivalent Tariffs
1 hour ago
US Imposes 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods; Canada Suspends Trade Talks and Retaliates with Equivalent Tariffs
Read More
US Imposes 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods; Canada Suspends Trade Talks and Retaliates with Equivalent Tariffs
US Imposes 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods; Canada Suspends Trade Talks and Retaliates with Equivalent Tariffs
According to the latest news, the US measure to impose an additional 50% tariff on certain Canadian goods took effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on August 22. At midnight on August 21 local time, Canadian Prime Minister Carney stated that he had decided to suspend trade negotiations with the US. Carney said that while the US imposes a 50% tariff on Canadian goods, Canada will impose an equivalent tariff.
1 hour ago
Trump Addresses US Bond Market, Iran, and North American Trade Talks
1 hour ago
Trump Addresses US Bond Market, Iran, and North American Trade Talks
Read More
Trump Addresses US Bond Market, Iran, and North American Trade Talks
Trump Addresses US Bond Market, Iran, and North American Trade Talks
US President Trump delivered remarks on multiple topics including the US bond market, the Iranian situation, and the North American trade talks.Regarding the recent expansion of long-term Treasury buyback operations by the US Treasury Department, Trump stated that he did not instruct Treasury Secretary Bessent to intervene in the US bond market, adding that Bessent decided to act on his own, and claimed that US economic growth would naturally resolve the national debt issue.On the Iran issue, Trump said that the US has "completely controlled the entire region" and that Iran "could" reach an agreement with the US, but is "not ready" to do so yet. Referring to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Trump remarked that the US "should be able to reach a deal with Canada," which is "going well," and that the US has also initiated a new agreement with Mexico.
1 hour ago