The holiday season is just around the corner. Indian gold demand is expected to pick up.

Published: Sep 18, 2020 09:12
[Indian gold demand is expected to rebound with the approach of the holiday season] stronger gold prices this year have put pressure on physical gold demand, as is the case in India, but (BMO Capital Markets), the capital market of the Bank of Montreal, believes that Indian gold demand is expected to rebound in the next six months. In the first half of this year, the demand for gold jewelry in India fell by 60% compared with the same period last year, on the one hand, the closure of various parts of India after the epidemic, on the other hand, higher international gold prices affected demand, and the discount on local gold prices in India rose sharply.

SMM: the strong price of gold this year puts pressure on the demand for physical gold, as is the case in India, but (BMO Capital Markets), the capital market of the Bank of Montreal, believes that demand for gold in India is expected to pick up in the next six months.

"starting in October, India will enter the six-month holiday season, consumer demand for gold jewelry will pick up significantly, and the discount on gold prices in the country will fall."

In the first half of this year, the demand for gold jewelry in India fell by 60% compared with the same period last year, on the one hand, the closure of various parts of India after the epidemic, on the other hand, higher international gold prices affected demand, and the discount on local gold prices in India rose sharply.

Whenever the festival or wedding season arrives, Indians are in the habit of buying gold, so the upcoming holiday season, including some important festivals, means that demand for gold jewelry in India is expected to pick up significantly.

The discount on Indian gold prices rose to $60 an ounce at one point in September because of weak demand, and analysts believe the discount could return to about $17 an ounce if demand picks up.

Nevertheless, gold prices in India are expected to remain at a discount until the end of this year, as the epidemic will still affect gold demand.

Silver Industry chain Summit Forum

Seminar on the Application of Silver Market in China

Scan the code to participate in the meeting or apply to join the SMM Precious Metals Industry Exchange Group.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Hong Kong Financial Secretary Chen Maobo: Proposed Tax Incentives for Gold Trading and Settlement Institutions
17 hours ago
Hong Kong Financial Secretary Chen Maobo: Proposed Tax Incentives for Gold Trading and Settlement Institutions
Read More
Hong Kong Financial Secretary Chen Maobo: Proposed Tax Incentives for Gold Trading and Settlement Institutions
Hong Kong Financial Secretary Chen Maobo: Proposed Tax Incentives for Gold Trading and Settlement Institutions
On February 25, Hong Kong's Financial Secretary announced measures to develop Hong Kong as a gold trading hub. Following a cooperation agreement with the Shanghai Gold Exchange and the upcoming 2026 launch of the Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing System, the government will pursue three initiatives: offering tax incentives for eligible gold trading and settlement institutions; supporting the establishment of an industry association to consolidate resources, enhance market promotion, and expand networks; and creating a training framework to equip professionals with updated market knowledge and skills.
17 hours ago
Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) Lowers Margin Ratios and Price Fluctuation Limits for Some Gold Deferred Contracts
18 hours ago
Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) Lowers Margin Ratios and Price Fluctuation Limits for Some Gold Deferred Contracts
Read More
Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) Lowers Margin Ratios and Price Fluctuation Limits for Some Gold Deferred Contracts
Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) Lowers Margin Ratios and Price Fluctuation Limits for Some Gold Deferred Contracts
The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) issued an announcement to adjust the margin ratios and price fluctuation limits for certain gold deferred delivery contracts, effective from the clearing time after the close on February 24, 2026. The specific adjustments were as follows: the margin ratios for Au(T+D), mAu(T+D), Au(T+N1), Au(T+N2), NYAuTN06, and NYAuTN12 contracts were lowered from 21% to 18%; starting from the next trading day, the price fluctuation limits for the aforementioned contracts were simultaneously reduced from 20% to 17%.
18 hours ago
BHP-Lundin JV Minera Vicuna Announces $18B Copper, Gold, Silver Project in Argentina; Phase 1 Invests $7B
19 hours ago
BHP-Lundin JV Minera Vicuna Announces $18B Copper, Gold, Silver Project in Argentina; Phase 1 Invests $7B
Read More
BHP-Lundin JV Minera Vicuna Announces $18B Copper, Gold, Silver Project in Argentina; Phase 1 Invests $7B
BHP-Lundin JV Minera Vicuna Announces $18B Copper, Gold, Silver Project in Argentina; Phase 1 Invests $7B
The first phase of investment, totaling $7 billion, is allocated to the Josemaria and Filo del Sol projects, with construction scheduled from 2027 to 2030. Upon full operation, the project is expected to produce an average annual output of 395,000 mt of copper, 711,000 ounces of gold, and 22.2 million ounces of silver over the first 25 years; cumulative production in the first decade is projected to reach 2.5 million mt of copper, 5.5 million ounces of gold, and 214 million ounces of silver. Development will proceed in three phases: the first phase focuses on the Josemaria deposit, while the second and third phases prioritize the Filo del Sol deposit.
19 hours ago
The holiday season is just around the corner. Indian gold demand is expected to pick up. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)