[selected SMM Weekly report] the fundamentals are relatively healthy and zinc prices are expected to rise at a low level.

Published: Sep 12, 2020 08:46
[zinc concentrate processing fee this week] the processing fee for imported zinc concentrate was further reduced this week, and the purchasing efforts of smelters were strengthened. It is understood that at present, the mainstream imported miners in the domestic market offer US $100,000,000 / dry ton, temporarily stopping the decline and stabilizing, but the domestic smelter is still worried about mineral supply in the fourth quarter, in addition to refineries in the northern region, the inventory of raw materials in the domestic region is relatively low, and some smelters currently accept the price of 120,130 US dollars / dry ton.

"SMM Zinc Industry chain Weekly report" released, the weekly report SMM will select the hot topics, prices, market or major changes in the industry chain information released into a document for your reference.

The following is an excerpt from the weekly report of the zinc industry chain:

Zinc market forecast next week: in terms of Shanghai zinc prices, with the sharp fall in zinc prices, downstream procurement reserve demand release, weekly inventory fell by nearly 20,000 tons, highlighting consumer resilience, the price logic anchored by consumption has not been falsified; In terms of supply, according to SMM research, the output of zinc ingots in September is expected to increase by more than 30,000 tons, and the import window will briefly open in August or will guide a certain amount of imported zinc inflow. from two aspects, the supply pressure of zinc ingots in September can not be ignored. However, at present, the improvement of domestic zinc mineral volume is relatively limited, and the import offer price has been lowered to 100-120 US dollars / dry ton, and the demand for winter storage has disturbed the market sentiment ahead of time. The pessimistic expectation of zinc ore supply in the fourth quarter is expected to gradually replace consumption as a new price anchor. From an expected point of view, the outlook for zinc is more optimistic. From the perspective of returning to the fundamentals, the main force of zinc in the next cycle is expected to run around 19000-20000 yuan / ton. It is expected that Shanghai zinc spot will rise 150-300 yuan / ton in October, and Lun zinc may return to a low level next week, running around 2360-2530 US dollars / ton.

Processing fees: this week, the processing fees for imported zinc concentrates have been further reduced, and the procurement efforts of smelters have been strengthened. It is understood that at present, the mainstream imported miners in the domestic market have quoted prices of US $100,000,000 / dry ton, temporarily stopping the decline and stabilizing, but domestic smelters are still worried about mineral supply in the fourth quarter. In addition, except for refineries in the northern region, the inventory of raw materials in domestic refineries is relatively low. Some smelters currently accept the price of US $120,130 / dry ton. Judging from the current pace, At present, the overseas bidding prices of traders are concentrated at 130-150 US dollars / dry ton, but some rumors that overseas transaction prices are less than 100 US dollars, and import processing fees continue to decline, and follow-up pay attention to the downward speed and space of domestic zinc concentrate processing fees.

"apply for free access to the SMM metal industry chain database

Catalogue of "SMM Zinc Industry chain Weekly report" in this issue

Main points of this weekly report: processing fees, import profit and loss inventory

Hot spots in the zinc industry: Guangdong's zinc ingots will be improved in August, less in and out more than in September.

Zinc concentrate market: processing fees for imported zinc concentrates have been further reduced this week, and the purchasing efforts of smelters have been strengthened.

Refinery dynamics

Imported zinc market: internal and external contradictions are not prominent and lack of guidance for import inflows

Zinc market predicts next week: the fundamentals are healthier and zinc prices are expected to rise at a low level.

Zinc market review: pessimism shrouded in zinc prices fell sharply

Galvanizing: more than half of the enterprises in Daqiuzhuang, Tianjin have basically resumed production and will resume further next week.

Die-casting zinc alloy: the terminal order is stable and the peak season is expected.

Zinc oxide: the restorative growth of tire exports continues to stabilize the operating rate of zinc oxide.

Scan the QR code application report for free and join the SMM copper industry chain exchange group

[China Zinc Industry chain High-end report] SMM exclusive monthly survey of zinc industry chain report, covering from zinc concentrate to zinc primary consumer operating rate and supply and demand profile. And announce the exclusive monthly zinc concentrate, refined zinc balance, continue to track the industry entity enterprises, update data. And through the supply and demand situation and data model to make a simple prediction of the future trend of zinc. "View details

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Read More
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
On September 9, 2026, Australia initiated its second sunset review of anti-dumping measures on galvanized steel sheet from India, Malaysia and Vietnam, and separately launched a sunset review of countervailing measures on imports from India. The review covers July 2025-June 2026, with the final report expected by February 11, 2027. As galvanized steel is the largest end-use sector for zinc, the measures directly affect export costs and competitiveness, potentially impacting Australia’s domestic zinc demand and supply chain. Maintaining the duties would provide some protection for domestic steel and coating capacity, while termination could increase low-priced imports and affect regional zinc consumption. The final outcome remains subject to the authorities’ determination.
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Limited Ore Offers Persist as Winter Demand Continues, Chinese Smelters Procure Imports Amid Low Treatment Charges
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Limited Ore Offers Persist as Winter Demand Continues, Chinese Smelters Procure Imports Amid Low Treatment Charges
Read More
Limited Ore Offers Persist as Winter Demand Continues, Chinese Smelters Procure Imports Amid Low Treatment Charges
Limited Ore Offers Persist as Winter Demand Continues, Chinese Smelters Procure Imports Amid Low Treatment Charges
Market offers from ore traders remained limited this week, while winter stocking demand persisted. Some Chinese smelters continued to inquire about and procure imported concentrates for Q4, with market treatment charges remaining at low levels.
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Northwest China Zinc Mine Offers September Tender at -RMB 2,800/mt; SMM to Track Treatment Charges
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Northwest China Zinc Mine Offers September Tender at -RMB 2,800/mt; SMM to Track Treatment Charges
Read More
Northwest China Zinc Mine Offers September Tender at -RMB 2,800/mt; SMM to Track Treatment Charges
Northwest China Zinc Mine Offers September Tender at -RMB 2,800/mt; SMM to Track Treatment Charges
According to SMM, a zinc mine in Northwest China offered a September self-pickup tender price of around -RMB 2,800/metal tonne this week. SMM will continue to monitor changes in treatment charges.
Sep 11, 2026 18:30