Macro Roundup (Sep 3)

Published: Sep 3, 2020 09:00
The dollar bounced off two-year lows on Wednesday as US data pointed to a firm manufacturing activity. Economic data published on Tuesday showed US manufacturing activity accelerated to a nearly two-year high in August amid a surge in new orders, with the reading from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) at its highest level since November 2018.

SHANGHAI, Sep 3 (SMM) — This is a roundup of global macroeconomic news last night and what is expected today.

 

The dollar bounced off two-year lows on Wednesday as US data pointed to a firm manufacturing activity. Economic data published on Tuesday showed US manufacturing activity accelerated to a nearly two-year high in August amid a surge in new orders, with the reading from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) at its highest level since November 2018.

 

Oil fell more than 2% on Wednesday, reversing course as gasoline demand fell in the United States in the latest week, an indication that economic recovery from the pandemic may be slower than expected.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Wednesday that US crude inventories fell by 9.4 million barrels in the last week to 498.4 million barrels, marking a sixth weekly decline in a row. Total US crude production also dropped by 1.1 million barrels last week to stand at 9.7 million barrels a day. The drop coincides with the output shut related to Hurricane Laura, which touched down on the US Gulf Coast early on Aug. 27.

 

Gold fell more than 1.5% on Wednesday as the dollar firmed and a strong rebound in US manufacturing sector fuelled hopes of a rapid recovery in the coronavirus-hit economy.

 

Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 1.5% to end its trading day at 3,580.84 while the Nasdaq Composite closed 1% higher at 12,056.44. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, with the Nasdaq topping 12,000 for the first time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw its first close above 29,000 since February as it advanced 454.84 points, or 1.6%, to close at 29,100.50.

 

On the SHFE, nonferrous metals, except for nickel and tin, closed lower in overnight trading. Copper weakened 0.59%, aluminium fell 0.93%, zinc slipped 0.69% and lead declined 0.82%, while nickel added 0.31% and tin rose 0.8%.

The LME complex traded mixed on Wednesday. Nickel rose 1.09%, tin advanced 1.05% and copper edged up 0.07%, while lead shed 1.97%, aluminium fell 1.54% and zinc declined 1.2%.

 

Economic data front

German retail sales figures fell unexpectedly in July, by 0.9%, according to calendar-adjusted data from the Federal Statistics Office. That missed expectations for a 0.5% increase.

 

US private payroll growth came in well below expectations for August, according to a report Wednesday from ADP, whose job tallies have differed widely from the government’s during the coronavirus pandemic. Companies added 428,000 jobs during the month, well below the 1.17 million estimate from economists surveyed by Dow Jones though a leap above the lackluster 212,000 that ADP measured for July.

 

New orders for US-made goods increased more than expected in July as the manufacturing sector continues to steadily recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Commerce Department said on Thursday factory orders rose 6.4% after a similar gain in June.

 

Here’s a look at what’s on tap:

China: Caixin services Purchasing Managers’ Index

Europe: July retail sales figures in eurozone

US: Trade balance for July, initial and continuing claims for jobless benefits, ISM non-manufacturing PMI for August  

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Economic Improvement of the Boumadine Polymetallic Mine in Morocco
1 hour ago
Economic Improvement of the Boumadine Polymetallic Mine in Morocco
Read More
Economic Improvement of the Boumadine Polymetallic Mine in Morocco
Economic Improvement of the Boumadine Polymetallic Mine in Morocco
1 hour ago
Greenland Mines Completes 104.8-Tonne Bulk Sampling Programme at Skaergaard PGM Project
4 hours ago
Greenland Mines Completes 104.8-Tonne Bulk Sampling Programme at Skaergaard PGM Project
Read More
Greenland Mines Completes 104.8-Tonne Bulk Sampling Programme at Skaergaard PGM Project
Greenland Mines Completes 104.8-Tonne Bulk Sampling Programme at Skaergaard PGM Project
[SMM Flash] Greenland Mines has completed a 104.8-tonne bulk-sampling programme across seven sites at its Skaergaard palladium-platinum-gold project in East Greenland. The samples are being prepared for large-scale and pilot-scale metallurgical testwork at GTK Mintec in Finland, while the company continues engineering, processing, infrastructure and waste-management studies aimed at advancing the project's technical evaluation. Skaergaard's S-K 1300 resource currently comprises approximately 15.0 million oz PdEq Indicated and 17.49 million oz PdEq Inferred, according to Greenland Mines. The bulk-testing programme represents an important step in evaluating processing and recovery options for one of the larger undeveloped palladium-platinum-gold systems outside the major South African, Zimbabwean and Russian supply regions. However, the reported Mineral Resources are not Mineral Reserves and the latest programme does not constitute a development or commercial production decision.
4 hours ago
Two Rivers Advances Validation Work for Merensky Project, Potential Output at 182,000 6E oz/year
5 hours ago
Two Rivers Advances Validation Work for Merensky Project, Potential Output at 182,000 6E oz/year
Read More
Two Rivers Advances Validation Work for Merensky Project, Potential Output at 182,000 6E oz/year
Two Rivers Advances Validation Work for Merensky Project, Potential Output at 182,000 6E oz/year
[SMM Flash] Two Rivers, the South African PGM joint venture between African Rainbow Minerals and Impala Platinum, is advancing technical validation work for its Merensky project on the eastern limb of the Bushveld Complex. Early-works capital was approved during FY2026 to complete studies required to determine the project's way forward. The Merensky concentrator was commissioned during the six months to December 2024 but was subsequently placed on care and maintenance amid challenging PGM market conditions. The project has a stated capital cost of approximately R7.3 billion and is designed to produce around 182,000 6E PGM oz/year at steady state, alongside approximately 1,600 tonnes/year of nickel and 1,300 tonnes/year of copper. A restart could therefore provide meaningful incremental PGM supply from an existing South African operation. However, the project remains under technical validation and no restart date or final decision to resume production has been announced.
5 hours ago
Macro Roundup (Sep 3) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)