SMM Morning Comments (Aug 24): LME nonferrous metals rose for the most part on Monday morning

Published: Aug 24, 2020 10:15
LME nonferrous metals rose for the most part on Monday morning, while Shanghai base metals declined broadly as of 10:10 Beijing time.

SHANGHAI, Aug 24 (SMM) — LME nonferrous metals rose for the most part on Monday morning, while Shanghai base metals declined broadly as of 10:10 Beijing time.

 

Nonferrous metals on the SHFE, except for nickel, closed lower on Friday night. Copper plunged 1.6%, aluminium fell 1.52%, zinc declined 1.32%, lead weakened 0.81% and tin slid 0.49%, while nickel strengthened 0.46%.

Their counterparts on the LME performed similarly. Copper slumped 1.86%, aluminium slid 0.84%, zinc fell 1.25%, lead weakened 1.16% and tin edged 0.11% lower, while nickel rose 1.03%.

 

Copper: Three-month LME copper trended lower on Friday, falling 1.86% to end at $6,490/mt. It is expected to move between $6,480-6,540/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2010 copper contract opened at a low of 51,200 yuan/mt on Friday night, and closed at 51,150 yuan/mt. It is likely to trade between 51,000-51,400 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums are seen lower at 30-70 yuan/mt.

Better-than-expected US economic data buoyed the US dollar index on Friday night, which weighed on copper prices. The stalled talks on US fiscal stimulus package and a slow economic recovery in the Europe are likely to pressure copper prices.

 

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium settled 0.84% lower at $1,768/mt on Friday.

The most-liquid SHFE 2009 aluminium contract closed 1.52% weaker at 14,595 yuan/mt on Friday night. It is expected to move between 14,550-14,700 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums are seen higher at 60-80 yuan/mt.  

 

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc settled 1.25% weaker at $2,449.5/mt on last Friday. LME zinc stocks rose 575 mt or 0.25% to 226,300 mt. Stronger US dollar, the stalemate of the US coronavirus relief bill and European economic data which suggested a slow recovery of economies weighed on nonferrous metals. LME zinc is expected to move between $2,450-2,500/mt today.

The most-traded SHFE 2010 zinc contract closed 1.32% lower at 19,790 yuan/mt on Friday night. It is likely to trade between 19,600-20,100 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan are seen higher at 100-120 yuan/mt against the September contract.

 

Nickel: The most-active SHFE 2010 nickel contract strengthened 0.46% to settle at 116,140 yuan/mt on Friday night.

In terms of fundamentals, high scheduled production of #300 stainless steel in Q3 will ease oversupply of high-grade NPI. Although refined nickel consumption was weak, fewer imports of spot nickel kept domestic social inventories stable.

 

Lead: Three-month LME lead closed 1.16% lower at $1,963/mt on Friday after hitting an intraday high of $2,008.5/mt.  

The most-active SHFE 2010 lead contract weakened 0.81% to close at 15,900 yuan/mt on Friday night. Open interest rose close to 26,000 lots.

 

Tin: Three-month LME tin edged 0.11% lower to end at $17,550 yuan/mt on Friday. Tin stocks across LME warehouses stood flat at 5,240 mt. Support below will be seen at around the 40-day moving average of $174,500/mt today.

The most-liquid SHFE 2010 tin contract weakened 0.49% to close at 142,460 yuan/mt on Friday night. Support below will be seen at around 141,000 yuan/mt today.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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