SMM Morning Comments (Aug 6): Shanghai base metals were broadly firmer, holding onto overnight gains

Published: Aug 6, 2020 09:48
Nonferrous metals on the LME rose for the most part on Thursday morning. Shanghai base metals, except tin and aluminium, moved higher as of 9:35 Beijing time, holding onto overnight gains.

SHANGHAI, Aug 6 (SMM) — Nonferrous metals on the LME rose for the most part on Thursday morning. Shanghai base metals, except tin and aluminium, moved higher as of 9:35 Beijing time, holding onto overnight gains.

Gold prices have risen for four straight trading days, breaking above $2,000 for the first time on Tuesday and climbing further to above $2,050 on Wednesday. The US dollar weakened as the White House was in a stalemate with Democrats over a coronavirus relief deal. It completes with gold as a safe haven.

On the SHFE, nonferrous metals, except for aluminium, cruised higher in overnight trading. Copper added 0.27%, zinc jumped 1.48%, lead rose 1.45%, nickel surged 1.68% and tin edged up 0.1%, while aluminium sank 1.29%.

Their counterparts on the LME performed similarly. Copper advanced 0.56%, zinc surged 2.15%, lead jumped 1.81%, nickel soared 2.04% and tin rose 0.62%, while aluminium shed 0.42%.

Copper: Three-month LME copper firmed 0.56% to close at $6,486/mt in choppy trading on Wednesday. It is likely to trade between $6,470-6,520/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2009 copper contract ended 0.27% higher at 51,550 yuan/mt in overnight trading. Weaker US dollar index led to the slight rise in copper prices. On the other hand, copper social inventories expanded for three weeks in a row as copper consumption entered a low season in August. The September contract is expected to move between 51,700-52,100 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums are seen at 40-100 yuan/mt.

Aluminium: Three-month LME aluminium shed 0.42% to end at $1,760.5/mt on Wednesday in choppy trading. Open interest added 10,443 lots to 797,000 lots as shorts added positions.

The most-liquid SHFE 2009 aluminium contract trended lower in overnight trading, closing 1.29% weaker at 14,530 yuan/mt. It is likely to trade between 14,500-14,850 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums are seen at 50-70 yuan/mt.

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc finished the day 2.15% higher at $2,378.5/mt on Wednesday after hitting an intraday high of $2,415/mt. Trade volume soared to 13,000 lots. Zinc stocks across LME warehouses shrank 75 mt or 0.04% to 187,575 mt. US talks on a coronavirus relief package will be monitored today. LME zinc is expected to move between $2,360-2,410/mt today.

The most-traded SHFE 2009 zinc rose 1.48% to end at 19,165 yuan/mt in overnight trading, on the backdrop of lax monetary policy and improved demand from galvanising and die-cast zinc alloy producers. The September contract is expected to trade between 19,000-19,500 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan are seen at 90-100 yuan/mt.  

Nickel: The most-active SHFE 2010 nickel contract extended earlier gains after the opening bell and surged to a session high of 117,200 yuan/mt, but later it relinquished some gains and closed just 0.43% higher at 113,480 yuan/mt in overnight trading. News that the US may develop the coronavirus vaccine in 2020 may bolster market confidence.  

Lead: Three-month LME lead ended 1.81% firmer at $1,917/mt on Wednesday after hitting a session high of $1,936/mt.

The most-active SHFE 2009 lead contract climbed to a session high of 16,155 yuan/mt before paring some gains and closing 1.45% higher at 16,065 yuan/mt in overnight trading. The prospect of improved downstream consumption bolstered lead prices.

Tin: Three-month LME tin fluctuated vigorously on Wednesday. It increased 0.62% to end at $17,855/mt. Tin stocks across LME warehouses expanded 40 mt to 3,990 mt. Pressure above is seen at $18,000/mt today.

The most-liquid SHFE 2010 tin contract rose to a session high of 147,560 yuan/mt before slumping to around 146,300 yuan/mt, and closed 0.1% higher at 146,330 yuan/mt in overnight trading. Pressure above is seen at 148,000 yuan/mt today.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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SMM Morning Comments (Aug 6): Shanghai base metals were broadly firmer, holding onto overnight gains - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)