SMM Evening Comments (Jul 29): Shanghai base metals mostly ended higher amid weaker US dollar, rebounded A-shares

Published: Jul 29, 2020 18:36
SHFE nonferrous metals mostly closed higher on Wednesday July 29, on the backdrop of a weaker US dollar and a rebound in Chinese shares.

SHANGHAI, Jul 29 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals mostly closed higher on Wednesday July 29, on the backdrop of a weaker US dollar and a rebound in Chinese shares.


Zinc jumped 3.0% to lead the way up, aluminium surged 1.5%, lead gained 1.2%, copper rose 0.4%, while nickel fell 0.5% and tin slipped 0.9%.


The ferrous complex, except for stainless steel and coking coal, closed higher. Iron ore was the best performer with a rise of 2.3%. Rebar gained 0.67%, hot-rolled coil rose 0.56% and coke advanced 0.48%. SMM data showed that hot-rolled coil inventories in Shanghai fell 38,100 mt from the prior week and 232,500 mt from the previous year to 299,600 mt this week, as floods extended the water transport period of cargoes.


Oil prices steadied after a surprise drop in US inventories. The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported late Tuesday that US crude supplies fell by 6.8 million barrels for the week ended July 24. Inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released at 22:30 tonight. The market remained concerned that sliding demand for fuels amid the COVID-19 pandemic may lead to an oil supply glut.  


The US Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision Wednesday, and the market anticipates a dovish statement.


Copper: The most-traded SHFE copper contract fell to an intraday low of 51,640 yuan/mt this morning, before surging to an intraday high of 51,990 yuan/mt as investors added their long positions and finished the day 0.35% higher at 51,880 yuan/mt. Open interest increased 5,412 lots to 120,000 lots. More economic stimulus packages are expected to be launched at the upcoming Fed open market committee meeting. Improved risk appetite may keep the contract robust tonight.  


Aluminium: The most-active SHFE aluminium 2009 contract finished the day 1.5% higher at 14,505 yuan/mt in chopping trading. Open interest rose 15,742 lots to 124,087 lots. Aluminium inventories held largely unchanged below 700,000 mt, which will support the contract.


Zinc: The most-liquid SHFE 2009 zinc contract gave up some gains after surging to an intraday high of 18,720 yuan/mt, and ended 2.95% higher at 18,695 yuan/mt. Trade volume increased 10,601 lots to 299,000 lots, and open interest rose 15,142 lots to 113,000 lots. The contract is expected to remain robust tonight amid prospects for strong consumption.  


Nickel: The most-active SHFE October nickel contract gave up gains from the early session today and declined to an intraday low of 109,310 yuan/mt, and ended 0.54% lower at 109,500 yuan/mt. Open interest lost 3,122 lots to 135,088 lots. The contract will likely test 110,000 yuan/mt tonight.


Lead: The most-active SHFE 2009 lead contract surged to a fresh high since December 2019 of 15,580 yuan/mt, before relinquishing some gains to end 1.2% higher at 15,555 yuan/mt. Open interest rose 656 lots to 23,677 lots. Consumption is expected to improve considering the upcoming high season. Whether the contract could reach the target level of 15,600 yuan/mt tonight will come under scrutiny.


Tin: The most-liquid SHFE October tin contract failed to hold onto gains from the early session today, as it pulled back after surging to an intraday high of 150,830 yuan/mt, ending 0.4% lower at 147,570 yuan/mt. Open interest rose 3,050 lots to 25,836 lots. Support below is seen from 145,500 yuan/mt.

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
16 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
16 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
16 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
16 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
16 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
16 hours ago
SMM Evening Comments (Jul 29): Shanghai base metals mostly ended higher amid weaker US dollar, rebounded A-shares - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)