[SMM Analysis] demand driven by overseas economic restart and post-disaster reconstruction is expected to fluctuate and rise in zinc prices.

Published: Jul 28, 2020 11:47
[SMM analysis: overseas economic restart, post-disaster reconstruction driven demand expected zinc prices are expected to rise] SMM believes that, from a fundamental point of view, with the gradual resumption of overseas economies, superimposed national policies to stimulate infrastructure development, zinc consumption gradually recover, future consumption can be expected, but supply-side increments inhibit the rise in zinc prices, zinc prices are expected to maintain a volatile upward trend.

SMM7, March 28: Republicans in the US Senate recently unveiled a $1 trillion anti-epidemic stimulus plan, involving a series of bills to cut supplementary unemployment benefits, issue 1200 dollars in cheques to most Americans, and exempt businesses, schools and other organizations from lawsuits related to the epidemic.

Affected by the US economic stimulus package, boosted macro sentiment, non-ferrous metals generally have a strong trend. Among them, Shanghai Zinc 2009 contract rose to 18530 yuan / ton at one time, but as the US dollar rose somewhat in early trading, the metal fell across the board. Shanghai Zinc closed at 18080 yuan / ton by midday, an increase of 0%.

"Click to view the SMM zinc industry chain database

On the supply side, domestic zinc concentrate processing fees have rebounded at a low level. according to SMM research, as of July 24, the TC of domestic zinc concentrate was 5400 yuan / metal ton, rising 400 yuan / metal ton from the previous low, boosting the smelter's willingness to produce, and the current smelter raw material inventory level returned to normal, an average of about a month. Overall, the supply side is expected to increase.

On the consumer side, galvanizing supports the main consumption of zinc, terminal orders have improved, and follow-up attention is paid to the rush of consumption and the landing of infrastructure projects after the rainy season. On the other hand, consumption is still not improving in some areas affected by the flood. However, demand is expected to be driven by post-disaster reconstruction in the future. As overseas countries restart their economies one after another, orders for die-casting zinc alloy and zinc oxide in Southeast Asia have improved, leading to a pick-up in the operating rate of the plate.

SMM believes that from a fundamental point of view, with the gradual restart of overseas economies and the superimposition of relevant national policies to stimulate infrastructure development, zinc consumption will gradually resume and future consumption can be expected, but supply-side increments restrain the rise in zinc prices, and zinc prices are expected to maintain a volatile upward trend.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
How Are Expectations for China’s Galvanized Sheet Exports in March Amid Continued Turmoil in the Middle East?
2 hours ago
How Are Expectations for China’s Galvanized Sheet Exports in March Amid Continued Turmoil in the Middle East?
Read More
How Are Expectations for China’s Galvanized Sheet Exports in March Amid Continued Turmoil in the Middle East?
How Are Expectations for China’s Galvanized Sheet Exports in March Amid Continued Turmoil in the Middle East?
According to the latest customs data, galvanized sheet exports stood at 926,600 mt in January 2026 and 1.1677 million mt in February, bringing cumulative exports in January-February to 2.0942 million mt, down 0.14% YoY. China’s total galvanized sheet exports in January-February this year were basically flat YoY. .
2 hours ago
South Korea to Exempt Tariffs on Overseas-Sourced Critical Minerals
6 hours ago
South Korea to Exempt Tariffs on Overseas-Sourced Critical Minerals
Read More
South Korea to Exempt Tariffs on Overseas-Sourced Critical Minerals
South Korea to Exempt Tariffs on Overseas-Sourced Critical Minerals
On the 25th, it was confirmed that the South Korean government will exempt tariffs of 3–8% on critical minerals such as lithium, graphite, and rare earth elements when domestically owned companies directly produce and import them from overseas. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy has pre-announced a new regulation outlining tariff exemptions for overseas resource development projects. Under the policy, a total of 14 critical minerals—including lithium, graphite, nickel, cobalt, manganese, copper, zinc, and rare earth elements such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium, terbium, dysprosium, yttrium, and scandium—will be eligible for duty exemption when brought into the country. The regulation is set to take effect on April 3.
6 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 26)
8 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 26)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 26)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 26)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 26 Mar , 2026
8 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] demand driven by overseas economic restart and post-disaster reconstruction is expected to fluctuate and rise in zinc prices. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)