[brief Review of SMM Aluminum] in the next few days, many heads will avoid risks and leave Shanghai Aluminum Night Market, which may usher in a small pullback.

Published: Jul 24, 2020 17:29

SMM, July 24th:

Shanghai Aluminum 2008 contract opened at 14495 yuan / ton in the morning, opening long positions and leaving mainly, aluminum prices all the way down, falling to 14390 yuan / ton at about 10:10 in the afternoon. At noon, some short positions made a profit and left the market, while aluminum prices were slightly arranged horizontally. Within an hour in the afternoon, mainly long positions left, aluminum futures fell and recorded an intraday low of 14305 yuan / ton at about 13:55. After that, the short positions made a profit, and the aluminum price rebounded. A small Yin line was recorded at the end of the day, and the closing price was 14405 yuan / ton. 08 contract day position decreased by 5886 to 103697 hands, the Shanghai Aluminum Index position decreased by 2797 to 376550 hands, the daily K closed at the cross star, the center of gravity broke through the 10-day moving average, there was a certain amount of reduction in long and short positions during the day, with a large amplitude. Recent tensions between China and the United States have escalated, there is a slight lack of short confidence, stock index futures are affected, Shanghai aluminum night market may usher in a small correction, the future needs to continue to pay attention to changes in the situation. From a fundamental point of view, there is no obvious accumulation of social inventory, downstream demand is OK, the current spot price-driven futures price logic remains unchanged, short-term aluminum prices are still supported. The month-changing time of the main force is approaching, so we need to pay close attention to the change of the price difference between far and near months.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM: Shanghai and Guangdong Bonded-Zone Primary Aluminum Inventory Rises to 117,300 MT
12 hours ago
SMM: Shanghai and Guangdong Bonded-Zone Primary Aluminum Inventory Rises to 117,300 MT
Read More
SMM: Shanghai and Guangdong Bonded-Zone Primary Aluminum Inventory Rises to 117,300 MT
SMM: Shanghai and Guangdong Bonded-Zone Primary Aluminum Inventory Rises to 117,300 MT
[SMM Domestic Bonded-Zone Primary Aluminum Inventory Statistics] On September 17, SMM reported primary aluminum inventory in the Shanghai bonded zone at 90,300 mt and in the Guangdong bonded zone at 27,000 mt, bringing total inventory to 117,300 mt, up 2,100 mt week over week.
12 hours ago
Tightened compliance regulations push up costs, ADC12 prices drift higher [Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum Weekly Review]
12 hours ago
Tightened compliance regulations push up costs, ADC12 prices drift higher [Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum Weekly Review]
Read More
Tightened compliance regulations push up costs, ADC12 prices drift higher [Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum Weekly Review]
Tightened compliance regulations push up costs, ADC12 prices drift higher [Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum Weekly Review]
[Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum Weekly Review: Tightening Compliance Supervision Raises Costs, ADC12 Prices Drift Higher] In terms of price spreads, on September 17, the price difference between A00 aluminum and mixed aluminum extrusion scrap free of paint in Foshan was about 2,468 yuan/mt, and the price difference between A00 aluminum and shredded aluminum tense scrap was about 1,247 yuan/mt. The price spread for aluminum tense scrap narrowed again WoW. Supply side, the tight raw material supply pattern remained unchanged, and the scarcity of compliant, invoiced aluminum scrap continued to rise. Notably, tax audits in central China continued to intensify, and the sharp drop in regional aluminum scrap supply will significantly disrupt aluminum scrap circulation. On the import side, this week, the price of imported shredded aluminum at Ningbo port was raised from 21,370 yuan/mt to 21,470 yuan/mt (tax inclusive), while at Tianjin port it rose from 21,420 yuan/mt to 21,520 yuan/mt (tax inclusive).
12 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] China Aluminum Rod Inventory Stays High, Processing Fees Edge Up Amid Falling Prices
13 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] China Aluminum Rod Inventory Stays High, Processing Fees Edge Up Amid Falling Prices
Read More
[SMM Analysis] China Aluminum Rod Inventory Stays High, Processing Fees Edge Up Amid Falling Prices
[SMM Analysis] China Aluminum Rod Inventory Stays High, Processing Fees Edge Up Amid Falling Prices
According to SMM statistics, as of September 11, days of in-factory inventories at aluminum rod plants in China recorded 8.06 days, up 0.43 days WoW
13 hours ago