[summary of SMM Morning meeting] Jinchuan Nickel rising Water is weak, stable and High Nickel Pig Iron has the intention to raise the price, but the steel mills have limited concessions.

Published: Jul 16, 2020 10:00

Nickel price judgment: the futures nickel is high, the spot pure nickel turnover is light; the mine end shortage continues, the market price has no market; the nickel iron supply and demand temporarily maintains the relatively balanced state, the market price maintains the stable operation; the stainless steel futures increases slightly stimulates the spot price, the market transaction is general. At present, metal prices are in a strong state under financial stimulus. Although the nickel price is not easy to break through the upper platform position due to the lack of fundamentals, and there are more operators, it is difficult to have a sharp correction in the trend in the short term, and it is expected to be mainly high-level concussion. after the opening of trading today, nickel and other metals have been downgraded, paying attention to the support situation of Shanghai Nickel 107000 integer gate.

1. July 15th SMM1 Electrolytic Nickel is quoted at 107300 RMB108400 per ton. Nickel futures fluctuated at a high level today, users downstream of the spot market continued to wait and see, and the trading atmosphere in the market has not improved. Russo Nickel to Shanghai Nickel 2008 contract quoted 500 to 600 yuan / ton, some in the market shipping willingness has increased, the quotation has been lower than yesterday, but the transaction is still not good. Jinchuan Nickel to Shanghai Nickel 2008 contract reported a rise of 200mur400 yuan / ton, in the market low-rise water quotation has increased compared with yesterday, today's transaction situation is slightly better than Russo Nickel. Today, Jinchuan ex-factory price is 107800 yuan / ton, manufacturers continue to actively ship goods, Jinchuan Shengshui is expected to be weak and stable in the future. Nickel beans to Shanghai Nickel 2008 contract quoted price of 1500 yuan / ton.

2. On July 15th, the ex-factory price of SMM high nickel pig iron is 960 won 965 yuan per nickel point (including factory tax), which is the same as the average price of the previous trading day. The inquiry price of stainless steel factory is slightly raised to 980 yuan / nickel point (including factory tax), and the rising mentality of quotation downstream stimulates the psychology of holding up price. The quotations of ironworks and traders are mainly around 960 house price 970 yuan / nickel point (including factory tax), and some manufacturers quote 975 yuan / nickel point (including factory tax). Traders said that at present, the operating profit space of high nickel iron is very narrow, the quotations of iron mills are strong, the concessions of steel mills are limited, the supply of goods at low prices is difficult to buy, and it is difficult to sell at high prices. But the rising trend appears, the price of high nickel pig iron may continue to rise slightly by 5mur10 yuan / nickel point.

3. On July 15, the cold and hot rolling prices of stainless steel in Wuxi were all flat. 304 cold rolling was reported at 13550 won 13750 yuan per ton, and 304 hot rolling was reported at 13050 Mui 13150 yuan per ton today. Recently, stainless steel trading is slightly calm, but merchants inventory is not high, supply and demand are both weak, the price trend is affected by futures contracts and nickel prices, today's quotation is stable, the actual transaction has a small profit adjustment room. Today, the stainless steel futures contract is still at a slight discount to the spot price, SHFE10 point 30 SS2009 contract price 13570 yuan / ton, Wuxi stainless steel spot price 150 Mel 350 yuan / ton. (spot trimming = rough edge + 170 yuan / ton)

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 02)
1 hour ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 02)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 02)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Sep 02)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 02 Sep , 2026
1 hour ago
[SMM Nickel Flash News] Daily Update — September 2, 2026
1 hour ago
[SMM Nickel Flash News] Daily Update — September 2, 2026
Read More
[SMM Nickel Flash News] Daily Update — September 2, 2026
[SMM Nickel Flash News] Daily Update — September 2, 2026
In terms of prices, this week marks the first week of the HMA pricing cycle for the first half of September, with the HMA standing at 16,733.33 US dollars per tonne. Indonesian nickel ore CIF average prices adjusted across all three grades: • 1.3% Ni: CIF average price at $30/wmt • 1.4% Ni: CIF average price at $52.8/wmt • 1.5% Ni: CIF average price at $59.2/wmt ________________________________________ Indonesia Policy & DSI ICOMEX Update — September 2, 2026 The Indonesian nickel ore market remains in a wait-and-see period, with the market closely monitoring further RKAB approvals and potential quota adjustments. Meanwhile, DSI is advancing the development of ICOMEX, its digital platform for monitoring and regulating mineral and strategic commodity exports. The platform is expected to progressively integrate key export-related data, including contracts, prices, ore grades, HS codes, vessels, destinations and settlement information. The development of ICOMEX is expected to improve export data transparency, regulatory oversight and price monitoring, while providing the government with a more comprehensive view of mineral export flows. Weather conditions across major nickel-producing regions remain generally manageable, although localized heavy rainfall could still cause temporary disruptions to mining and logistics. The market is also waiting for a potential revision to the HPM formula for limonite ore. Any changes to the pricing mechanism, particularly the treatment of associated metals and corrective factors, could affect limonite pricing and HPAL feedstock economics. Overall, the market remains cautious, with RKAB approvals, ICOMEX development, weather conditions and the potential limonite HPM revision being the key factors to watch in the near term.
1 hour ago
[SMM Analysis] EU Melt-and-Pour Rules Arrive on Deadline Day — Reshuffling the Cost of Access to Europe
2 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] EU Melt-and-Pour Rules Arrive on Deadline Day — Reshuffling the Cost of Access to Europe
Read More
[SMM Analysis] EU Melt-and-Pour Rules Arrive on Deadline Day — Reshuffling the Cost of Access to Europe
[SMM Analysis] EU Melt-and-Pour Rules Arrive on Deadline Day — Reshuffling the Cost of Access to Europe
Brussels delivers a three-page implementing act on 31st August, leaving four weeks before declarations begin — and one year before the mill test certificate becomes mandatory. SMM Analysis — follow-up to "EU Melt-and-Pour: Deadline Looms, No Rules in Sight"
2 hours ago