[SMM aluminum brief review] intra-day aluminum price pullback when the price gap narrowed rapidly the following month

Published: Jul 14, 2020 17:43

SMM, July 14:

The main 2008 contract of Shanghai Aluminum opened at 14700 yuan / ton in the morning, and the short sellers entered the market in the first 15 minutes. Aluminum prices began to leak, and with some bulls leaving the market in an emergency, aluminum prices fell to an intraday low of 14465 yuan / ton. After that, taking short profits to reduce positions and leaving the market, aluminum prices rebounded slightly and recorded an intraday high of 14600 yuan / ton at about 11:25 in the afternoon. The short sellers entered strongly again in the afternoon, and the aluminum price fell back to a low of 14465 yuan / ton again, followed by a slight lack of long and short confidence and reduced positions one after another. aluminum futures prices were mainly narrow and closed at 14485 yuan / ton at the end of the day. 08 contract day position decreased by 6764 to 142136 hands, the Shanghai Aluminum Index position decreased by 7005 to 415149 hands, the daily K closed at a long negative line, down 1.66%, giving up some of yesterday's gains, mainly long positions during the day. On the whole, the electrolytic aluminum price is still supported by fundamentals, and the upward logic of the spot-driven futures price remains unchanged, the contract delivery is approaching, when the difference between the next month narrows rapidly, and the spot price is narrowed compared with the rising water of the contract in that month. We need to pay attention to the changes in the fundamentals of the spot market and the flow of multi-short funds.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
21 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
21 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
21 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
21 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
21 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
21 hours ago
[SMM aluminum brief review] intra-day aluminum price pullback when the price gap narrowed rapidly the following month - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)